Barnes County, North Dakota: Northern Rural Secular
North Dakota · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+35.0
2024 Margin
R+3.6%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1968
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
11K
Population
Barnes County, North Dakota voted R+35.0 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 3,531 votes (66.14%). This represented a R+3.6% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
6.0
Elasticity
Sticky
Trend
-1.0/yr
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+35.0
2020→2024 SwingR+3.6%
Voting StreakR since 1968
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population10,853
Median Age
43.6(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
36.8%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$64,447(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
90.1%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
2.0%(US: 18.6%)
Black
1.7%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
1.3%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
73.4%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
11.3%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
9.6%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31.1%(1,661) | 66.1%(3,531) | R+35.0 | -3.6 |
| 2020 | 32.7%(1,820) | 64.1%(3,568) | R+31.4 | -2.2 |
| 2016 | 29.9%(1,597) | 59.1%(3,160) | R+29.3 | -18.9 |
| 2012 | 43.4%(2,394) | 53.7%(2,964) | R+10.3 | -8.8 |
| 2008 | 48.1%(2,741) | 49.6%(2,826) | R+1.5 | +21.8 |
| 2004 | 37.6%(2,186) | 60.9%(3,541) | R+23.3 | +3.1 |
| 2000 | 33.6%(1,933) | 60.1%(3,452) | R+26.4 | -24.0 |
| 1996 | 42.4%(2,317) | 44.8%(2,449) | R+2.4 | +7.0 |
| 1992 | 32.9%(2,124) | 42.3%(2,728) | R+9.4 | +2.4 |
| 1988 | 43.7%(2,858) | 55.5%(3,631) | R+11.8 | +14.8 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 35.8%(1,901) | 64.2%(3,403) | R+28.3 | +6.0 |
| 2022 | 25.1%(978) | 59.5%(2,314) | R+34.4 | -34.6 |
| 2018 | 49.9%(2,517) | 49.7%(2,507) | D+0.2 | +65.2 |
| 2016 | 15.6%(835) | 80.6%(4,302) | R+65.0 | -80.4 |
| 2012 | 57.5%(3,181) | 42.1%(2,329) | D+15.4 | +65.7 |
| 2010 | 23.9%(1,140) | 74.3%(3,538) | R+50.3 | -77.8 |
| 2006 | 63.2%(2,930) | 35.8%(1,658) | D+27.5 | -13.4 |
| 2004 | 70.4%(4,086) | 29.6%(1,716) | D+40.9 | +12.2 |
| 2000 | 64.3%(3,694) | 35.7%(2,047) | D+28.7 | -9.1 |
| 1998 | 67.5%(3,350) | 29.7%(1,473) | D+37.8 | +15.7 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26.8%(1,417) | 69.2%(3,655) | R+42.4 | +1.3 |
| 2020 | 24.8%(1,366) | 68.4%(3,775) | R+43.7 | +18.3 |
| 2016 | 17.2%(917) | 79.2%(4,217) | R+62.0 | -45.5 |
| 2012 | 40.7%(2,240) | 57.2%(3,143) | R+16.4 | +32.7 |
| 2008 | 24.3%(1,384) | 73.4%(4,187) | R+49.1 | -5.5 |
| 2004 | 27.6%(1,597) | 71.3%(4,121) | R+43.6 | -37.4 |
| 2000 | 46.9%(2,702) | 53.1%(3,060) | R+6.2 | +23.3 |
| 1996 | 35.3%(1,902) | 64.7%(3,491) | R+29.5 | -19.3 |
| 1992 | 43.4%(2,795) | 53.6%(3,453) | R+10.2 | -38.0 |
| 1988 | 63.9%(4,291) | 36.1%(2,426) | D+27.8 | +12.2 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(63.9%) | Bernie Sanders(33.1%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(75.0%) | Hillary Clinton(25.0%) | ✗ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee