Lake County, Ohio: Declining Industrial Metro
Ohio · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+14.3
2024 Margin
R+0.7%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2012
Voting Streak
🏭 Rust Belt
Classification
233K
Population
Lake County, Ohio voted R+14.3 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 72,924 votes (56.46%). This represented a R+0.7% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2012.
Electoral Behavior
🏭
Declining Industrial MetroView all
Rust Belt urban centers that voted for Obama but have shifted dramatically toward Republicans. Former manufacturing hubs experiencing economic decline and Democratic erosion.
Volatility
4.7
Elasticity
Sticky
Trend
-0.5/yr
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+14.3
2020→2024 SwingR+0.7%
Voting StreakR since 2012
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population232,603
Median Age
43.9(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
41.1%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$76,835(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
85.0%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
5.1%(US: 18.6%)
Black
4.7%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
1.4%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
75.1%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
8.2%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
7.1%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 42.2%(54,484) | 56.5%(72,924) | R+14.3 | -0.7 |
| 2020 | 42.5%(55,514) | 56.1%(73,278) | R+13.6 | +1.4 |
| 2016 | 39.1%(46,397) | 54.1%(64,255) | R+15.0 | -14.1 |
| 2012 | 48.3%(57,680) | 49.2%(58,744) | R+0.9 | -1.7 |
| 2008 | 49.5%(60,155) | 48.6%(59,142) | D+0.8 | +3.4 |
| 2004 | 48.5%(59,049) | 51.0%(62,193) | R+2.6 | +2.5 |
| 2000 | 45.3%(46,497) | 50.5%(51,747) | R+5.1 | -7.4 |
| 1996 | 44.2%(43,186) | 41.9%(40,974) | D+2.3 | +5.2 |
| 1992 | 35.5%(37,682) | 38.5%(40,766) | R+2.9 | +11.3 |
| 1988 | 42.4%(39,667) | 56.6%(52,963) | R+14.2 | +5.1 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46.0%(58,125) | 50.8%(64,089) | R+4.7 | +3.5 |
| 2022 | 45.9%(43,166) | 54.1%(50,890) | R+8.2 | -12.4 |
| 2018 | 52.1%(49,276) | 47.9%(45,313) | D+4.2 | +31.7 |
| 2016 | 33.6%(37,594) | 61.1%(68,348) | R+27.5 | -29.4 |
| 2012 | 48.3%(54,981) | 46.4%(52,795) | D+1.9 | +26.0 |
| 2010 | 36.1%(28,206) | 60.2%(46,974) | R+24.1 | -38.3 |
| 2006 | 57.1%(50,649) | 42.9%(37,988) | D+14.3 | +46.2 |
| 2004 | 34.0%(39,561) | 66.0%(76,682) | R+31.9 | +2.7 |
| 2000 | 31.0%(29,568) | 65.6%(62,519) | R+34.6 | -10.5 |
| 1998 | 38.0%(26,805) | 62.0%(43,795) | R+24.1 | -0.3 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 35.1%(33,098) | 64.8%(61,121) | R+29.7 | -19.8 |
| 2018 | 43.5%(41,355) | 53.4%(50,783) | R+9.9 | +29.0 |
| 2014 | 29.0%(19,698) | 68.0%(46,189) | R+39.0 | -29.7 |
| 2010 | 43.1%(34,157) | 52.4%(41,467) | R+9.2 | -40.8 |
| 2006 | 64.2%(56,482) | 32.6%(28,675) | D+31.6 | +47.4 |
| 2002 | 40.8%(27,370) | 56.6%(37,986) | R+15.8 | -2.8 |
| 1998 | 40.7%(28,755) | 53.7%(38,002) | R+13.1 | +48.0 |
| 1994 | 17.5%(12,183) | 78.6%(54,592) | R+61.1 | -35.6 |
| 1990 | 37.3%(27,263) | 62.7%(45,847) | R+25.4 | -61.1 |
| 1986 | 67.8%(41,275) | 32.1%(19,550) | D+35.7 | +1.6 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(74.5%) | Bernie Sanders(14.7%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(53.9%) | Bernie Sanders(45.3%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | GOP | John Kasich(46.9%) | Donald Trump(39.5%) | ✗ |
| 2008 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(62.1%) | Barack Obama(36.4%) | ✗ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee