Warren County, Ohio: Professional Migration
Ohio · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+31.3
2024 Margin
R+0.5%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1968
Voting Streak
🏘️ Prof. Migration
Classification
242K
Population
Warren County, Ohio voted R+31.3 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 91,132 votes (64.74%). This represented a R+0.5% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968.
Electoral Behavior
🏘️
Professional MigrationView all
Growing metro exurbs and suburbs receiving educated professionals from cities. These areas are shifting blue as remote work and urban flight bring liberal voters. Examples: Atlanta suburbs, DFW exurbs, Denver metro.
Volatility
2.3
Elasticity
Responsive
Trend
Stable
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+31.3
2020→2024 SwingR+0.5%
Voting StreakR since 1968
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population242,337
Median Age
39.5(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
63.9%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$103,128(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
82.7%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
3.3%(US: 18.6%)
Black
3.4%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
6.6%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
79.6%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
5.4%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
6.9%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33.5%(47,128) | 64.7%(91,132) | R+31.3 | -0.5 |
| 2020 | 33.9%(46,069) | 64.7%(87,988) | R+30.8 | +6.0 |
| 2016 | 28.2%(33,730) | 65.0%(77,643) | R+36.8 | +2.3 |
| 2012 | 29.4%(32,909) | 68.5%(76,564) | R+39.1 | -3.1 |
| 2008 | 31.4%(33,398) | 67.4%(71,691) | R+36.0 | +8.5 |
| 2004 | 27.6%(26,044) | 72.1%(68,037) | R+44.5 | -2.2 |
| 2000 | 27.7%(19,142) | 70.0%(48,318) | R+42.2 | -13.2 |
| 1996 | 30.8%(17,089) | 59.9%(33,210) | R+29.1 | -1.7 |
| 1992 | 25.6%(13,542) | 53.0%(27,998) | R+27.4 | +20.0 |
| 1988 | 26.0%(11,145) | 73.4%(31,419) | R+47.4 | +5.9 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 35.5%(49,350) | 61.1%(84,796) | R+25.5 | +3.5 |
| 2022 | 35.5%(35,970) | 64.5%(65,370) | R+29.0 | -0.9 |
| 2018 | 36.0%(35,815) | 64.0%(63,757) | R+28.1 | +26.0 |
| 2016 | 20.8%(23,827) | 74.9%(85,848) | R+54.1 | -20.2 |
| 2012 | 31.0%(33,787) | 64.9%(70,755) | R+33.9 | +22.2 |
| 2010 | 20.6%(16,355) | 76.7%(60,795) | R+56.1 | -29.2 |
| 2006 | 36.5%(25,102) | 63.5%(43,588) | R+26.9 | +30.9 |
| 2004 | 21.1%(19,251) | 78.9%(72,083) | R+57.8 | -2.0 |
| 2000 | 20.1%(13,546) | 76.0%(51,135) | R+55.9 | -12.8 |
| 1998 | 28.5%(12,871) | 71.5%(32,323) | R+43.0 | +0.9 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 26.6%(27,070) | 73.2%(74,345) | R+46.5 | -10.9 |
| 2018 | 30.9%(30,720) | 66.5%(66,190) | R+35.6 | +23.4 |
| 2014 | 19.4%(11,427) | 78.4%(46,167) | R+59.0 | -18.6 |
| 2010 | 27.9%(22,271) | 68.4%(54,536) | R+40.5 | -23.3 |
| 2006 | 40.3%(27,434) | 57.4%(39,094) | R+17.1 | +38.9 |
| 2002 | 20.0%(9,833) | 76.0%(37,388) | R+56.0 | -17.0 |
| 1998 | 28.3%(12,562) | 67.3%(29,897) | R+39.0 | +27.6 |
| 1994 | 15.3%(5,903) | 81.9%(31,635) | R+66.6 | -29.9 |
| 1990 | 31.6%(9,861) | 68.3%(21,299) | R+36.7 | -27.0 |
| 1986 | 45.1%(11,477) | 54.8%(13,939) | R+9.7 | -6.3 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(72.4%) | Bernie Sanders(18.1%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(52.7%) | Bernie Sanders(46.8%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | GOP | John Kasich(42.8%) | Donald Trump(37.9%) | ✗ |
| 2008 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(55.6%) | Barack Obama(43.0%) | ✗ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee
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