Mayes County, Oklahoma: Deep Red Country

Oklahoma · Presidential Elections 19082024

R+57.5
2024 Margin
R+2.3%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2000
Voting Streak
39K
Population

Mayes County, Oklahoma voted R+57.5 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 13,514 votes (77.78%). This represented a R+2.3% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+57.5
2020→2024 SwingR+2.3%
Voting StreakR since 2000
Elections on Record30

Demographics

Population39,046
Median Age
40.3(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
16.5%(US: 34.6%)
Median Income
$56,552(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
62.5%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
3.8%(US: 18.6%)
Homeownership
74.3%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
17.6%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
9.1%(US: 6.4%)
Non-English (CVAP)
4.4%(US: 17.1%)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
50.8%(+34.3 vs US)
Mainline Protestant
5.0%
Catholic
1.6%(-17.1 vs US)
Black Protestant
0.6%(-1.6 vs US)
LDS/Mormon
0.6%(-1.4 vs US)

Age Distribution

Median:40.3 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
23.4%
18-29
7.8%
30-44
18.0%
45-64
32.0%
65+
18.7%
National average

Employment by Industry

Source: Census ACS
ManufacturingVery high
16.0%
Retail Trade
11.1%
Education
9.7%
Construction
8.0%
Professional ServicesBelow avg
7.4%
HealthcareVery low
4.5%
Political relevance:
Manufacturing: Trade policy sensitiveHealthcare: ACA debatesAgriculture: Farm bill, rural R
+ 1 more industries

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202420.3%(3,529)77.8%(13,514)R+57.5R+2.3
202021.5%(3,581)76.7%(12,749)R+55.1R+3.4
201621.8%(3,423)73.5%(11,555)R+51.7R+18.5
201233.4%(4,823)66.7%(9,637)R+33.3R+5.2
200836.0%(5,749)64.0%(10,234)R+28.1R+10.2
200441.1%(6,933)58.9%(9,946)R+17.9R+14.2
200047.3%(6,618)50.9%(7,132)R+3.7R+12.0
199647.9%(6,377)39.6%(5,268)D+8.3D+1.8
199242.4%(6,432)35.9%(5,445)D+6.5D+2.0
198851.9%(6,691)47.4%(6,115)D+4.5D+29.3

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202224.4%(5,941)75.6%(18,404)R+51.2R+1.5
202025.1%(3,973)74.8%(11,826)R+49.7D+4.0
201623.2%(3,409)76.8%(11,306)R+53.7R+13.6
201429.9%(5,450)70.0%(12,746)R+40.1D+1.6
201029.1%(3,257)70.9%(7,924)R+41.7R+35.4
200846.8%(6,827)53.2%(7,751)R+6.3R+15.9
200454.8%(8,893)45.2%(7,343)D+9.6D+11.6
200249.0%(5,498)51.0%(5,726)R+2.0D+12.9
199842.5%(4,068)57.5%(5,496)R+14.9R+14.4
199649.7%(6,357)50.3%(6,430)R+0.6R+3.2

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202234.4%(4,205)65.6%(8,031)R+31.3R+5.3
201837.0%(4,604)63.0%(7,837)R+26.0R+13.5
201443.8%(4,016)56.2%(5,158)R+12.4D+6.5
201040.5%(4,768)59.5%(6,992)R+18.9R+66.6
200673.8%(8,300)26.2%(2,940)D+47.7D+24.5
200261.6%(6,460)38.4%(4,025)D+23.2D+4.3
199859.5%(5,871)40.5%(4,000)D+18.9R+2.6
199460.8%(2,990)39.2%(1,931)D+21.5R+20.0
199070.8%(6,539)29.2%(2,702)D+41.5D+42.5
198649.5%(4,820)50.5%(4,917)R+1.0R+40.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Primary Election History

Primary Results

YearPartyWinnerRunner-upNominee?
2020DemJoe Biden(37.5%)Michael Bloomberg(19.2%)
2016DemBernie Sanders(51.7%)Hillary Clinton(40.0%)
2016GOPDonald Trump(35.3%)Ted Cruz(32.5%)
2012DemOther(52.3%)Barack Obama(47.7%)
2008DemHillary Clinton(69.5%)Barack Obama(17.8%)
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee

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Source: Official state election returns
akashicedge.com/counties/0500000US40097