Providence County, Rhode Island: Declining Industrial Metro
Rhode Island Β· Presidential Elections 1892β2024
D+14.0
2024 Margin
R+8.9%
2020β2024 Swing
D since 1976
Voting Streak
π Rust Belt
Classification
661K
Population
Providence County, Rhode Island voted D+14.0 for Kamala Harris in 2024, with Harris receiving 150,102 votes (55.66%). This represented a R+8.9% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1976.
Electoral Behavior
π
Declining Industrial MetroView all
Rust Belt urban centers that voted for Obama but have shifted dramatically toward Republicans. Former manufacturing hubs experiencing economic decline and Democratic erosion.
Volatility
6.3
Elasticity
Responsive
Trend
-0.4/yr
Quick Stats
2024 ResultD+14.0
2020β2024 SwingR+8.9%
Voting StreakD since 1976
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population660,741
Median Age
37.6(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
44.7%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$72,579(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
57.6%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
24.9%(US: 18.6%)
Black
8.1%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
4.2%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
56.6%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
13.0%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
4.2%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 55.7%(150,102) | 41.7%(112,443) | D+14.0 | -8.9 |
| 2020 | 60.5%(165,012) | 37.6%(102,551) | D+22.9 | +2.0 |
| 2016 | 57.5%(142,899) | 36.6%(90,882) | D+20.9 | -14.0 |
| 2012 | 66.5%(159,520) | 31.6%(75,785) | D+34.9 | +0.5 |
| 2008 | 66.4%(167,704) | 32.0%(80,748) | D+34.4 | +7.4 |
| 2004 | 62.6%(144,811) | 35.6%(82,337) | D+27.0 | -10.1 |
| 2000 | 65.3%(142,469) | 28.1%(61,378) | D+37.1 | -2.9 |
| 1996 | 63.6%(134,866) | 23.5%(49,901) | D+40.0 | +18.0 |
| 1992 | 49.5%(125,358) | 27.4%(69,579) | D+22.0 | +4.0 |
| 1988 | 58.8%(135,927) | 40.8%(94,248) | D+18.0 | +14.7 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 61.5%(312,914) | 38.5%(196,290) | D+22.9 | -13.7 |
| 2020 | 68.3%(175,783) | 31.7%(81,590) | D+36.6 | +8.2 |
| 2018 | 64.1%(126,669) | 35.7%(70,495) | D+28.4 | -18.3 |
| 2014 | 73.3%(121,097) | 26.5%(43,866) | D+46.7 | +8.8 |
| 2012 | 68.9%(154,123) | 30.9%(69,136) | D+38.0 | -13.8 |
| 2008 | 75.7%(176,273) | 23.9%(55,607) | D+51.8 | +33.5 |
| 2006 | 59.1%(119,617) | 40.9%(82,679) | D+18.3 | -44.7 |
| 2002 | 81.5%(140,443) | 18.5%(31,948) | D+62.9 | +69.5 |
| 2000 | 45.7%(95,193) | 52.3%(108,904) | R+6.6 | -42.4 |
| 1996 | 67.2%(132,573) | 31.4%(61,918) | D+35.8 | +58.7 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 58.8%(104,196) | 38.0%(67,439) | D+20.7 | +3.4 |
| 2018 | 53.9%(106,688) | 36.5%(72,247) | D+17.4 | +10.5 |
| 2014 | 43.2%(73,262) | 36.3%(61,519) | D+6.9 | +10.3 |
| 2010 | 27.5%(49,266) | 30.8%(55,258) | R+3.3 | -13.2 |
| 2006 | 54.9%(111,601) | 45.1%(91,623) | D+9.8 | +10.9 |
| 2002 | 49.5%(87,818) | 50.5%(89,697) | R+1.1 | +1.7 |
| 1998 | 45.5%(76,932) | 48.3%(81,643) | R+2.8 | -0.5 |
| 1994 | 44.9%(90,722) | 47.2%(95,425) | R+2.3 | -29.3 |
| 1992 | 61.2%(145,250) | 34.2%(81,276) | D+26.9 | -23.5 |
| 1990 | 75.2%(153,783) | 24.8%(50,629) | D+50.5 | +49.1 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(60.3%) | Bernie Sanders(31.1%) | β |
| 2016 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(53.3%) | Hillary Clinton(44.4%) | β |
| 2016 | GOP | Donald Trump(51.5%) | John Kasich(33.4%) | β |
| 2008 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(60.4%) | Barack Obama(38.3%) | β |
β = County picked eventual party nominee