Grimes County, Texas: Republican Migration
Texas Β· Presidential Elections 1912β2024
R+60.2
2024 Margin
R+7.1%
2020β2024 Swing
R since 2000
Voting Streak
π GOP Migration
Classification
29K
Population
Grimes County, Texas voted R+60.2 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 11,197 votes (79.69%). This represented a R+7.1% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000.
Electoral Behavior
π
Republican MigrationView all
Fast-growing counties attracting conservative migrants, shifting further red. Concentrated in ID, UT, and parts of TX/GA. These areas are both growing and becoming more Republican relative to national trends.
Volatility
11.1
Elasticity
Moderate
Trend
-2.1/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+60.2
2020β2024 SwingR+7.1%
Voting StreakR since 2000
Elections on Record29
Demographics
Population29,268
Median Age
40.3(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
26.4%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$63,484(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
56.8%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
25.3%(US: 18.6%)
Black
13.4%(US: 12.3%)
Homeownership
78.0%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
13.3%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
7.0%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19.5%(2,734) | 79.7%(11,197) | R+60.2 | -7.1 |
| 2020 | 22.8%(2,833) | 76.0%(9,432) | R+53.2 | -2.1 |
| 2016 | 23.0%(2,194) | 74.1%(7,065) | R+51.1 | -6.9 |
| 2012 | 27.2%(2,339) | 71.4%(6,141) | R+44.2 | -9.9 |
| 2008 | 32.5%(2,704) | 66.8%(5,562) | R+34.3 | -2.6 |
| 2004 | 33.8%(2,713) | 65.5%(5,263) | R+31.8 | -6.1 |
| 2000 | 36.0%(2,450) | 61.7%(4,197) | R+25.7 | -26.0 |
| 1996 | 45.3%(2,584) | 45.0%(2,564) | D+0.3 | -2.7 |
| 1992 | 41.7%(2,594) | 38.6%(2,402) | D+3.1 | +4.6 |
| 1988 | 49.0%(2,735) | 50.5%(2,820) | R+1.5 | +15.8 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20.7%(2,900) | 77.4%(10,830) | R+56.7 | -2.4 |
| 2020 | 21.8%(2,678) | 76.1%(9,338) | R+54.3 | -2.4 |
| 2018 | 23.7%(2,037) | 75.5%(6,499) | R+51.8 | +4.6 |
| 2014 | 19.8%(958) | 76.3%(3,698) | R+56.5 | -14.9 |
| 2012 | 28.0%(2,372) | 69.6%(5,894) | R+41.6 | -11.9 |
| 2008 | 34.1%(2,803) | 63.8%(5,234) | R+29.6 | +3.0 |
| 2006 | 32.4%(1,686) | 65.0%(3,387) | R+32.6 | -13.9 |
| 2002 | 39.9%(2,076) | 58.7%(3,053) | R+18.8 | +18.5 |
| 2000 | 30.1%(2,013) | 67.4%(4,505) | R+37.3 | -26.7 |
| 1996 | 44.2%(2,433) | 54.8%(3,018) | R+10.6 | +4.3 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 18.4%(1,732) | 80.7%(7,607) | R+62.3 | -6.5 |
| 2018 | 21.5%(1,858) | 77.3%(6,684) | R+55.8 | -3.5 |
| 2014 | 22.7%(1,125) | 75.0%(3,716) | R+52.3 | -29.7 |
| 2010 | 37.0%(2,276) | 59.6%(3,663) | R+22.6 | -15.1 |
| 2006 | 25.1%(1,361) | 32.6%(1,766) | R+7.5 | +19.3 |
| 2002 | 35.5%(1,879) | 62.2%(3,293) | R+26.7 | +9.9 |
| 1998 | 31.3%(1,273) | 67.9%(2,760) | R+36.6 | -23.2 |
| 1994 | 43.1%(1,952) | 56.5%(2,560) | R+13.4 | -9.8 |
| 1990 | 46.7%(1,873) | 50.4%(2,020) | R+3.7 | -4.3 |
| 1986 | 50.0%(2,345) | 49.3%(2,313) | D+0.7 | -27.6 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(45.7%) | Bernie Sanders(22.3%) | β |
| 2016 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(73.2%) | Bernie Sanders(25.2%) | β |
| 2016 | GOP | Ted Cruz(50.6%) | Donald Trump(32.2%) | β |
| 2012 | Dem | Barack Obama(88.8%) | Other(11.2%) | β |
| 2008 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(54.7%) | Barack Obama(42.7%) | β |
β = County picked eventual party nominee