Hardeman County, Texas: Northern Rural Secular

Texas Β· Presidential Elections 1912–2024

R+72.7
2024 Margin
R+3.8%
2020β†’2024 Swing
R since 2000
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
4K
Population

Hardeman County, Texas voted R+72.7 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 1,210 votes (86.12%). This represented a R+3.8% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000.

Electoral Behavior

🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all

Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.

Volatility
20.6
Elasticity
Inelastic
Trend
-3.1/yr (red)

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+72.7
2020β†’2024 SwingR+3.8%
Voting StreakR since 2000
Elections on Record29

Demographics

Population3,549
Median Age
44.1(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
17.8%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$60,455(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
65.5%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
26.9%(US: 18.6%)
Black
4.0%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
1.2%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
69.7%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
12.8%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
5.0%(US: 6.4%)

Presidential Elections

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202413.4%(188)86.1%(1,210)R+72.7-3.8
202015.3%(241)84.2%(1,330)R+68.9-5.6
201616.5%(249)79.8%(1,207)R+63.3-4.9
201220.2%(302)78.7%(1,176)R+58.5-6.7
200823.4%(373)75.2%(1,199)R+51.8-8.7
200428.2%(480)71.3%(1,214)R+43.1-16.8
200036.4%(566)62.7%(976)R+26.3-35.5
199649.0%(750)39.8%(610)D+9.1-8.4
199249.3%(954)31.7%(614)D+17.6+3.2
198857.1%(1,143)42.7%(855)D+14.4+28.7

Senate Elections

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202415.5%(217)83.2%(1,163)R+67.7+1.8
202014.9%(232)84.4%(1,313)R+69.5-1.7
201815.9%(185)83.7%(973)R+67.8-4.1
201416.8%(112)80.6%(536)R+63.8-16.9
201224.9%(352)71.7%(1,013)R+46.8-0.5
200825.6%(397)72.0%(1,116)R+46.4-11.2
200631.1%(439)66.3%(935)R+35.2-25.6
200244.8%(437)54.4%(530)R+9.5+25.4
200032.0%(462)67.0%(967)R+35.0-24.3
199644.1%(645)54.8%(801)R+10.7+1.8

Governor Elections

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202211.6%(114)87.9%(866)R+76.3-3.5
201813.3%(154)86.2%(997)R+72.9-13.9
201419.5%(130)78.5%(523)R+59.0-24.1
201031.4%(290)66.4%(612)R+34.9-19.0
200622.8%(325)38.7%(553)R+16.0+11.0
200235.6%(354)62.6%(622)R+27.0+4.2
199834.3%(409)65.4%(781)R+31.2-40.6
199454.4%(739)44.9%(610)D+9.5-12.7
199059.5%(827)37.3%(518)D+22.2+23.5
198649.1%(690)50.4%(708)R+1.3-36.4

Primary Election History

YearPartyWinnerRunner-upNominee?
2020DemJoe Biden(48.0%)Bernie Sanders(16.3%)βœ“
2016DemBernie Sanders(48.9%)Hillary Clinton(39.4%)βœ—
2016GOPTed Cruz(43.4%)Donald Trump(33.3%)βœ—
2012DemOther(55.4%)Barack Obama(44.6%)β€”
2008DemHillary Clinton(58.9%)Barack Obama(22.6%)βœ—
βœ“ = County picked eventual party nominee
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Source: Official state election returns
akashicedge.com/counties/0500000US48197