Tarrant County, Texas: Professional Migration
Texas · Presidential Elections 1912–2024
R+5.1
2024 Margin
R+5.3%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2024
Voting Streak
🏘️ Prof. Migration
Classification
2.1M
Population
Tarrant County, Texas voted R+5.1 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 426,626 votes (51.82%). This represented a R+5.3% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2024.
Electoral Behavior
🏘️
Professional MigrationView all
Growing metro exurbs and suburbs receiving educated professionals from cities. These areas are shifting blue as remote work and urban flight bring liberal voters. Examples: Atlanta suburbs, DFW exurbs, Denver metro.
Volatility
2.2
Elasticity
Highly elastic
Trend
Stable
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+5.1
2020→2024 SwingR+5.3%
Voting StreakR since 2024
Elections on Record29
Demographics
Population2,110,640
Median Age
34.9(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
46.4%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$78,872(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
43.2%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
29.9%(US: 18.6%)
Black
17.4%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
5.8%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
59.4%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
10.9%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
6.4%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46.7%(384,501) | 51.8%(426,626) | R+5.1 | -5.3 |
| 2020 | 49.3%(411,567) | 49.1%(409,741) | D+0.2 | +8.8 |
| 2016 | 43.1%(288,392) | 51.7%(345,921) | R+8.6 | +7.1 |
| 2012 | 41.4%(253,071) | 57.1%(348,920) | R+15.7 | -4.0 |
| 2008 | 43.7%(274,880) | 55.4%(348,420) | R+11.7 | +13.7 |
| 2004 | 37.0%(207,286) | 62.4%(349,462) | R+25.4 | -1.4 |
| 2000 | 36.8%(173,758) | 60.7%(286,921) | R+24.0 | -14.7 |
| 1996 | 41.6%(170,431) | 50.9%(208,312) | R+9.3 | -3.5 |
| 1992 | 33.1%(156,230) | 38.9%(183,387) | R+5.8 | +17.3 |
| 1988 | 38.2%(151,310) | 61.2%(242,660) | R+23.1 | +11.6 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 48.9%(401,742) | 48.7%(399,927) | D+0.2 | +5.1 |
| 2020 | 46.2%(382,408) | 51.1%(423,117) | R+4.9 | -5.6 |
| 2018 | 49.9%(313,497) | 49.2%(309,189) | D+0.7 | +24.6 |
| 2014 | 36.1%(132,713) | 60.0%(220,424) | R+23.9 | -7.6 |
| 2012 | 40.4%(243,914) | 56.7%(342,386) | R+16.3 | -3.5 |
| 2008 | 42.5%(262,870) | 55.3%(341,772) | R+12.8 | +15.6 |
| 2006 | 34.8%(112,324) | 63.2%(203,994) | R+28.4 | -12.0 |
| 2002 | 41.3%(139,596) | 57.7%(195,111) | R+16.4 | +20.0 |
| 2000 | 30.7%(143,191) | 67.1%(313,435) | R+36.5 | -23.3 |
| 1996 | 42.8%(174,104) | 56.0%(227,519) | R+13.1 | +12.1 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 47.3%(279,423) | 51.3%(303,600) | R+4.1 | +6.6 |
| 2018 | 43.8%(273,814) | 54.4%(340,404) | R+10.6 | +5.4 |
| 2014 | 41.1%(153,214) | 57.1%(213,120) | R+16.1 | -1.0 |
| 2010 | 41.0%(142,392) | 56.0%(194,583) | R+15.0 | -6.1 |
| 2006 | 31.1%(101,402) | 40.0%(130,513) | R+8.9 | +12.0 |
| 2002 | 38.5%(129,861) | 59.5%(200,486) | R+20.9 | +18.3 |
| 1998 | 30.1%(77,310) | 69.3%(178,068) | R+39.2 | -32.1 |
| 1994 | 46.1%(155,872) | 53.3%(180,194) | R+7.2 | -10.2 |
| 1990 | 48.9%(139,788) | 45.9%(131,234) | D+3.0 | +13.2 |
| 1986 | 44.3%(104,196) | 54.5%(128,263) | R+10.2 | -12.3 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(38.2%) | Bernie Sanders(30.6%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(65.2%) | Bernie Sanders(34.2%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | GOP | Ted Cruz(41.9%) | Donald Trump(26.4%) | ✗ |
| 2012 | Dem | Barack Obama(95.1%) | Other(4.9%) | — |
| 2008 | Dem | Barack Obama(54.1%) | Hillary Clinton(45.3%) | ✓ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee