Orleans County, Vermont: Razor-Thin Margins
Vermont · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+1.5
2024 Margin
R+6.0%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2024
Voting Streak
27K
Population
Orleans County, Vermont voted R+1.5 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 7,233 votes (48.99%). This represented a R+6.0% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2024.
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+1.5
2020→2024 SwingR+6.0%
Voting StreakR since 2024
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population27,393
Median Age
45.6(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
28.6%(US: 34.6%)
Median Income
$63,981(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
93.3%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
1.8%(US: 18.6%)
Homeownership
79.9%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
10.8%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
9.0%(US: 6.4%)
Non-English (CVAP)
5.9%(US: 17.1%)
Community Profile
Religious Composition
Source: Religion Census 2020Catholic
15.2%(-3.5 vs US)
Mainline Protestant
4.5%(-0.7 vs US)
Evangelical
3.0%(-13.5 vs US)
LDS/Mormon
0.8%(-1.2 vs US)
Age Distribution
Median:45.6 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
19.4%↓
18-29
7.1%↓
30-44
17.0%
45-64
33.1%↑
65+
23.3%↑
National average
Employment by Industry
Source: Census ACSRetail Trade
12.0%Manufacturing
11.3%ConstructionAbove avg
9.4%Education
8.5%Professional ServicesVery low
6.0%HealthcareVery low
5.1%Political relevance:
Professional Services: College-educated baseHealthcare: ACA debatesAgriculture: Farm bill, rural R
+ 1 more industries
Presidential Elections
Presidential Results
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 47.5%(7,006) | 49.0%(7,233) | R+1.5 | R+6.0 |
| 2020 | 50.7%(7,147) | 46.2%(6,512) | D+4.5 | D+4.3 |
| 2016 | 43.0%(5,185) | 42.8%(5,159) | D+0.2 | R+23.8 |
| 2012 | 60.9%(7,117) | 36.8%(4,306) | D+24.0 | R+3.5 |
| 2008 | 62.6%(7,998) | 35.1%(4,482) | D+27.5 | D+22.1 |
| 2004 | 51.7%(6,330) | 46.3%(5,666) | D+5.4 | D+8.1 |
| 2000 | 45.1%(5,472) | 47.8%(5,799) | R+2.7 | R+23.0 |
| 1996 | 51.4%(5,137) | 31.2%(3,114) | D+20.3 | D+10.3 |
| 1992 | 41.0%(4,721) | 31.0%(3,572) | D+10.0 | D+20.7 |
| 1988 | 44.0%(4,224) | 54.7%(5,257) | R+10.8 | D+17.7 |
Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab
Senate Elections
Senate Results
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 52.0%(7,182) | 48.0%(6,619) | D+4.1 | R+14.2 |
| 2018 | 59.1%(5,571) | 40.9%(3,853) | D+18.2 | D+10.8 |
| 2016 | 53.7%(6,033) | 46.3%(5,199) | D+7.4 | R+36.8 |
| 2012 | 72.1%(8,033) | 27.9%(3,106) | D+44.2 | D+17.3 |
| 2010 | 63.5%(5,517) | 36.5%(3,176) | D+26.9 | R+0.3 |
| 2006 | 63.6%(6,456) | 36.4%(3,690) | D+27.3 | R+18.5 |
| 2004 | 72.9%(8,430) | 27.1%(3,135) | D+45.8 | D+94.8 |
| 2000 | 25.5%(2,695) | 74.5%(7,879) | R+49.0 | R+97.3 |
| 1998 | 74.1%(6,171) | 25.9%(2,152) | D+48.3 | D+53.5 |
| 1994 | 47.4%(3,800) | 52.6%(4,215) | R+5.2 | R+16.3 |
Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab
Governor Elections
Governor Results
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13.4%(1,852) | 86.6%(11,966) | R+73.2 | D+26.8 |
| 2022 | 0.0%(0) | 100.0%(7,849) | R+100.0 | R+41.5 |
| 2020 | 20.7%(2,690) | 79.3%(10,291) | R+58.5 | R+21.6 |
| 2018 | 31.5%(3,010) | 68.5%(6,538) | R+37.0 | D+6.1 |
| 2016 | 28.5%(3,299) | 71.5%(8,291) | R+43.1 | R+13.3 |
| 2014 | 35.1%(2,448) | 64.9%(4,521) | R+29.8 | R+24.7 |
| 2012 | 47.5%(5,186) | 52.5%(5,737) | R+5.0 | D+9.9 |
| 2010 | 42.5%(3,874) | 57.5%(5,235) | R+14.9 | D+46.6 |
| 2008 | 19.2%(1,743) | 80.8%(7,331) | R+61.6 | R+31.5 |
| 2006 | 35.0%(3,531) | 65.0%(6,566) | R+30.1 | D+0.8 |
Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab
Primary Election History
Primary Results
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(51.7%) | Joe Biden(23.4%) | ✗ |
| 2016 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(87.7%) | Hillary Clinton(11.7%) | ✗ |
| 2008 | Dem | Barack Obama(54.6%) | Hillary Clinton(42.6%) | ✓ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee