Bayfield County, Wisconsin: Northern Rural Secular

Wisconsin · Presidential Elections 18922024

D+11.1
2024 Margin
R+3.0%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 1976
Voting Streak
16K
Population

Bayfield County, Wisconsin voted D+11.1 for Kamala Harris in 2024, with Harris receiving 6,107 votes (54.33%). This represented a R+3.0% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1976.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultD+11.1
2020→2024 SwingR+3.0%
Voting StreakD since 1976
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population16,220
Median Age
53.6(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
35.0%(US: 34.6%)
Median Income
$67,266(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
84.0%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
2.0%(US: 18.6%)
Homeownership
84.5%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
8.9%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
11.2%(US: 6.4%)
Non-English (CVAP)
2.8%(US: 17.1%)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Catholic
21.1%(+2.4 vs US)
Mainline Protestant
9.8%(+4.5 vs US)
Evangelical
4.7%(-11.8 vs US)

Age Distribution

Median:53.6 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
16.6%
18-29
5.5%
30-44
12.6%
45-64
35.0%
65+
30.3%
National average

Employment by Industry

Source: Census ACS
EducationVery high
14.2%
Manufacturing
10.0%
ConstructionAbove avg
9.0%
Retail Trade
8.9%
Professional ServicesBelow avg
6.4%
HealthcareVery low
4.6%
Political relevance:
Education: Union strongholdHealthcare: ACA debatesAgriculture: Farm bill, rural R
+ 1 more industries

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202454.3%(6,107)43.2%(4,860)D+11.1R+3.0
202056.5%(6,147)42.4%(4,617)D+14.1D+5.4
201651.5%(4,953)42.9%(4,124)D+8.6R+16.2
201261.6%(6,033)36.8%(3,603)D+24.8R+2.7
200863.1%(5,972)35.5%(3,365)D+27.5D+6.0
200460.3%(5,845)38.7%(3,754)D+21.6D+7.5
200053.6%(4,427)39.5%(3,266)D+14.1R+8.3
199653.1%(3,895)30.6%(2,250)D+22.4D+4.2
199247.7%(3,873)29.5%(2,393)D+18.2D+1.8
198858.0%(4,323)41.5%(3,095)D+16.5D+9.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202457.1%(6,260)42.9%(4,697)D+14.3D+2.4
202255.9%(5,183)44.1%(4,082)D+11.9R+14.4
201863.1%(5,541)36.9%(3,233)D+26.3D+13.9
201656.2%(5,162)43.8%(4,020)D+12.4R+14.3
201263.4%(6,017)36.6%(3,476)D+26.8D+7.4
201059.7%(4,270)40.3%(2,882)D+19.4R+29.0
200674.2%(5,113)25.8%(1,778)D+48.4D+13.3
200467.6%(6,331)32.4%(3,039)D+35.1R+13.2
200074.2%(5,772)25.8%(2,010)D+48.3D+22.7
199862.8%(3,823)37.2%(2,261)D+25.7R+15.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202258.3%(5,367)41.7%(3,843)D+16.6R+3.1
201859.8%(5,152)40.2%(3,458)D+19.7R+3.1
201461.4%(4,888)38.6%(3,075)D+22.8D+5.6
201058.6%(4,185)41.4%(2,961)D+17.1R+13.6
200665.3%(4,653)34.7%(2,468)D+30.7R+1.0
200265.8%(3,752)34.2%(1,948)D+31.6D+23.0
199854.3%(3,352)45.7%(2,817)D+8.7D+31.4
199438.6%(2,051)61.4%(3,256)R+22.7R+4.2
199040.8%(2,276)59.3%(3,309)R+18.5R+20.8
198651.1%(2,788)48.9%(2,664)D+2.3R+18.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Primary Election History

Primary Results

YearPartyWinnerRunner-upNominee?
2020DemJoe Biden(62.0%)Bernie Sanders(33.5%)
2016DemBernie Sanders(63.5%)Hillary Clinton(36.1%)
2016GOPDonald Trump(61.0%)Ted Cruz(35.3%)
2008DemBarack Obama(55.3%)Hillary Clinton(43.0%)
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee

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Source: Official state election returns
akashicedge.com/counties/0500000US55007