Jefferson County, Wisconsin: Northern Rural Secular
Wisconsin · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+16.4
2024 Margin
R+1.1%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2012
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
85K
Population
Jefferson County, Wisconsin voted R+16.4 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 28,771 votes (57.37%). This represented a R+1.1% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2012.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
3.5
Elasticity
Sticky
Trend
-0.5/yr
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+16.4
2020→2024 SwingR+1.1%
Voting StreakR since 2012
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population84,900
Median Age
41.5(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
36.6%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$77,018(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
87.5%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
8.4%(US: 18.6%)
Black
1.1%(US: 12.3%)
Homeownership
72.9%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
8.1%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
6.6%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41.0%(20,574) | 57.4%(28,771) | R+16.4 | -1.1 |
| 2020 | 41.5%(19,904) | 56.7%(27,208) | R+15.2 | +0.7 |
| 2016 | 38.4%(16,569) | 54.3%(23,417) | R+15.9 | -8.3 |
| 2012 | 45.5%(20,158) | 53.1%(23,517) | R+7.6 | -8.4 |
| 2008 | 49.7%(21,448) | 48.9%(21,096) | D+0.8 | +14.7 |
| 2004 | 42.6%(17,925) | 56.5%(23,776) | R+13.9 | -2.8 |
| 2000 | 42.1%(15,203) | 53.2%(19,204) | R+11.1 | -12.8 |
| 1996 | 44.3%(13,188) | 42.6%(12,681) | D+1.7 | +6.2 |
| 1992 | 35.3%(11,593) | 39.9%(13,072) | R+4.5 | +5.0 |
| 1988 | 44.9%(11,816) | 54.3%(14,309) | R+9.5 | +14.8 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41.5%(20,631) | 56.4%(28,005) | R+14.8 | +1.4 |
| 2022 | 41.8%(16,141) | 58.0%(22,402) | R+16.2 | -11.6 |
| 2018 | 47.6%(18,055) | 52.3%(19,809) | R+4.6 | +11.3 |
| 2016 | 40.5%(17,149) | 56.5%(23,902) | R+15.9 | -6.0 |
| 2012 | 43.9%(19,081) | 53.8%(23,393) | R+9.9 | +10.5 |
| 2010 | 39.1%(12,344) | 59.5%(18,801) | R+20.4 | -44.4 |
| 2006 | 60.2%(18,511) | 36.3%(11,161) | D+23.9 | +28.8 |
| 2004 | 47.3%(19,684) | 52.2%(21,725) | R+4.9 | -14.7 |
| 2000 | 54.2%(19,284) | 44.4%(15,800) | D+9.8 | +21.8 |
| 1998 | 43.3%(10,236) | 55.4%(13,081) | R+12.0 | -20.6 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 43.3%(16,765) | 55.5%(21,488) | R+12.2 | +2.1 |
| 2018 | 42.0%(16,018) | 56.3%(21,475) | R+14.3 | +6.9 |
| 2014 | 38.8%(13,876) | 60.0%(21,443) | R+21.2 | +1.8 |
| 2010 | 37.8%(11,909) | 60.8%(19,155) | R+23.0 | -17.2 |
| 2006 | 46.0%(14,247) | 51.8%(16,038) | R+5.8 | +2.1 |
| 2002 | 36.7%(9,243) | 44.6%(11,237) | R+7.9 | +24.9 |
| 1998 | 32.5%(7,647) | 65.3%(15,363) | R+32.8 | +10.1 |
| 1994 | 27.4%(5,369) | 70.3%(13,779) | R+42.9 | -17.3 |
| 1990 | 37.2%(6,305) | 62.8%(10,646) | R+25.6 | -6.8 |
| 1986 | 40.2%(7,876) | 59.0%(11,551) | R+18.8 | -19.9 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(63.9%) | Bernie Sanders(30.3%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(61.1%) | Hillary Clinton(38.6%) | ✗ |
| 2016 | GOP | Ted Cruz(60.1%) | Donald Trump(37.1%) | ✗ |
| 2008 | Dem | Barack Obama(57.4%) | Hillary Clinton(41.2%) | ✓ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee