Hernando County, Florida: Deep Red Country

Florida · Presidential Elections 1884–2024

R+36.9

2024 Margin

R+6.7%

2020→2024 Swing

R since 2004

Voting Streak

195K

Population

Hernando County, Florida voted R+36.9 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 75,446 votes (67.94%). This represented a R+6.7% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2004.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+36.9

2020→2024 SwingR+6.7%

Voting StreakR since 2004

Elections on Record35

Demographics

Population194,515

Median Age

48.5(US: 38.4)

College (BA+)

20.4%(US: 34.6%)

Median Income

$59,202(US: $78k)

White (non-Hisp)

73.4%(US: 57.5%)

Hispanic

16.1%(US: 18.6%)

Black

5.3%(US: 12.3%)

Asian

1.3%(US: 5.7%)

Homeownership

81.8%(US: 64.2%)

Poverty Rate

12.0%(US: 12.4%)

Veterans

11.7%(US: 6.4%)

Non-English (CVAP)

11.3%(US: 17.1%)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020

Catholic

20.8%(+2.1 vs US)

Evangelical

10.8%(-5.7 vs US)

Mainline Protestant

1.9%(-3.3 vs US)

Black Protestant

0.5%(-1.7 vs US)

LDS/Mormon

0.3%(-1.8 vs US)

Age Distribution

Median:48.5 yrs(US: 38.5)

Under 18

18.5%↓

18-29

6.6%↓

30-44

16.4%↓

45-64

31.9%↑

65+

26.6%↑

National average

Employment by Industry

Source: Census ACS

Retail TradeAbove avg

14.6%

Professional Services

12.6%

Education

9.5%

ConstructionAbove avg

9.5%

ManufacturingBelow avg

5.5%

HealthcareVery low

4.7%

Political relevance:

Healthcare: ACA debates

+ 1 more industries

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

Year	Democrat	Republican	Margin	Swing
2024	31.0%(34,431)	67.9%(75,446)	R+36.9	R+6.7
2020	34.5%(37,519)	64.6%(70,412)	R+30.2	R+1.2
2016	33.9%(31,795)	62.9%(58,970)	R+29.0	R+20.5
2012	45.2%(37,830)	53.7%(44,938)	R+8.5	R+4.9
2008	47.6%(41,886)	51.2%(45,021)	R+3.6	D+3.2
2004	46.2%(37,187)	52.9%(42,635)	R+6.8	R+9.8
2000	50.0%(32,648)	47.0%(30,658)	D+3.0	R+8.1
1996	49.1%(28,524)	38.0%(22,046)	D+11.2	D+8.6
1992	39.1%(19,174)	36.5%(17,902)	D+2.6	D+18.2
1988	41.9%(15,437)	57.5%(21,195)	R+15.6	D+11.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Senate Elections

Senate Results

Year	Democrat	Republican	Margin	Swing
2024	34.2%(36,545)	65.8%(70,178)	R+31.5	D+7.1
2022	30.7%(24,298)	69.3%(54,822)	R+38.6	R+15.3
2018	38.4%(30,798)	61.6%(49,501)	R+23.3	D+0.9
2016	37.9%(32,766)	62.1%(53,708)	R+24.2	R+35.4
2012	55.6%(43,691)	44.4%(34,902)	D+11.2	D+65.9
2010	22.6%(8,020)	77.4%(27,413)	R+54.7	R+78.9
2006	62.1%(34,316)	37.9%(20,975)	D+24.1	D+20.1
2004	52.0%(39,634)	48.0%(36,557)	D+4.0	R+2.1
2000	53.1%(32,916)	46.9%(29,099)	D+6.2	R+12.2
1998	59.2%(27,620)	40.8%(19,035)	D+18.4	D+59.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

Year	Democrat	Republican	Margin	Swing
2022	29.6%(23,700)	70.4%(56,247)	R+40.7	R+15.1
2018	37.2%(29,426)	62.8%(49,671)	R+25.6	R+22.2
2014	48.3%(28,622)	51.7%(30,635)	R+3.4	D+5.5
2010	45.5%(25,127)	54.5%(30,056)	R+8.9	D+1.2
2006	44.9%(24,412)	55.1%(29,907)	R+10.1	D+8.1
2002	40.9%(23,357)	59.1%(33,736)	R+18.2	R+7.7
1998	44.7%(20,592)	55.3%(25,441)	R+10.5	R+12.1
1994	50.8%(25,331)	49.2%(24,532)	D+1.6	R+15.2
1990	58.4%(24,453)	41.6%(17,434)	D+16.8	D+23.4
1986	46.7%(15,526)	53.3%(17,719)	R+6.6	R+35.7

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Primary Election History

Primary Results

Year	Party	Winner	Runner-up	Nominee?
2024	GOP	Donald Trump(87.6%)	Nikki Haley(8.7%)	✓
2020	Dem	Joe Biden(55.7%)	Bernie Sanders(21.6%)	✓
2016	Dem	Hillary Clinton(59.6%)	Bernie Sanders(37.0%)	✓
2016	GOP	Donald Trump(56.1%)	Marco Rubio(17.3%)	✓
2008	Dem	Hillary Clinton(60.5%)	Barack Obama(21.8%)	✗