Black Hawk County, Iowa: Razor-Thin Margins

Iowa · Presidential Elections 18922024

D+1.2
2024 Margin
R+7.9%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 1988
Voting Streak
131K
Population

Black Hawk County, Iowa voted D+1.2 for Kamala Harris in 2024, with Harris receiving 31,299 votes (49.76%). This represented a R+7.9% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1988.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultD+1.2
2020→2024 SwingR+7.9%
Voting StreakD since 1988
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population131,144
Median Age
35.5(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
30.1%(US: 34.6%)
Median Income
$62,329(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
78.8%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
5.0%(US: 18.6%)
Black
10.4%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
2.6%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
65.3%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
14.7%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
5.8%(US: 6.4%)
Non-English (CVAP)
5.1%(US: 17.1%)

Community Profile

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202449.8%(31,299)48.6%(30,572)D+1.2R+7.9
202053.5%(35,647)44.5%(29,640)D+9.0D+1.7
201649.6%(32,233)42.3%(27,476)D+7.3R+12.9
201259.3%(39,821)39.1%(26,235)D+20.2R+2.2
200860.5%(39,184)38.1%(24,662)D+22.4D+10.9
200455.4%(35,392)43.9%(28,046)D+11.5R+0.6
200054.7%(30,112)42.6%(23,468)D+12.1R+7.4
199655.8%(29,651)36.4%(19,322)D+19.4D+6.1
199248.1%(29,584)34.8%(21,398)D+13.3R+0.1
198856.4%(31,657)42.9%(24,112)D+13.4D+14.7

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202250.6%(24,036)48.7%(23,133)D+1.9R+6.8
202053.0%(34,963)44.3%(29,222)D+8.7D+19.1
201642.9%(27,245)53.3%(33,884)R+10.4R+17.5
201452.0%(24,311)44.9%(21,007)D+7.1D+29.3
201038.0%(17,114)60.2%(27,099)R+22.2R+58.2
200868.0%(42,681)31.9%(20,043)D+36.1D+73.5
200430.4%(19,151)67.8%(42,746)R+37.4R+56.3
200258.4%(24,302)39.6%(16,475)D+18.8D+50.3
199833.9%(13,365)65.4%(25,792)R+31.5R+49.6
199658.5%(30,770)40.5%(21,283)D+18.1D+55.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202245.8%(21,585)51.4%(24,236)R+5.6R+17.8
201854.9%(29,259)42.8%(22,786)D+12.2D+16.7
201446.2%(21,506)50.8%(23,633)R+4.6R+7.6
201050.1%(22,720)47.1%(21,355)D+3.0R+15.7
200658.7%(26,080)40.0%(17,758)D+18.7D+3.2
200256.4%(23,501)40.9%(17,038)D+15.5R+1.4
199857.9%(22,861)40.9%(16,164)D+16.9D+25.9
199444.9%(19,752)53.9%(23,714)R+9.0D+11.1
199039.7%(17,018)59.9%(25,640)R+20.1R+27.5
198653.7%(23,150)46.3%(19,975)D+7.4D+14.7

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Primary Election History

Primary Results

YearPartyWinnerRunner-upNominee?
2024GOPDonald Trump(52.2%)Other(25.8%)
2020DemBernie Sanders(27.4%)Pete Buttigieg(20.2%)
2016DemBernie Sanders(52.9%)Hillary Clinton(46.7%)
2008DemBarack Obama(42.6%)Hillary Clinton(27.9%)
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee

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Source: Official state election returns
akashicedge.com/counties/0500000US19013