Shelby County, Iowa: Northern Rural Secular
Iowa · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+42.9
2024 Margin
R+2.6%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1968
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
12K
Population
Shelby County, Iowa voted R+42.9 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 4,600 votes (70.71%). This represented a R+2.6% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
6.5
Elasticity
Moderate
Trend
-1.1/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+42.9
2020→2024 SwingR+2.6%
Voting StreakR since 1968
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population11,746
Median Age
45.5(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
30.6%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$70,295(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
92.1%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
3.7%(US: 18.6%)
Homeownership
75.8%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
8.5%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
8.2%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27.8%(1,811) | 70.7%(4,600) | R+42.9 | -2.6 |
| 2020 | 28.8%(1,959) | 69.1%(4,697) | R+40.3 | +1.6 |
| 2016 | 25.8%(1,662) | 67.7%(4,362) | R+41.9 | -19.6 |
| 2012 | 38.1%(2,469) | 60.3%(3,911) | R+22.2 | -12.5 |
| 2008 | 44.4%(2,863) | 54.0%(3,488) | R+9.7 | +18.8 |
| 2004 | 35.3%(2,355) | 63.8%(4,256) | R+28.5 | -3.9 |
| 2000 | 36.3%(2,179) | 60.8%(3,655) | R+24.6 | -9.7 |
| 1996 | 36.6%(2,176) | 51.4%(3,056) | R+14.8 | -3.9 |
| 1992 | 32.0%(2,094) | 42.9%(2,809) | R+10.9 | -7.3 |
| 1988 | 47.9%(2,806) | 51.5%(3,019) | R+3.6 | +25.6 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 25.6%(1,213) | 71.7%(3,401) | R+46.1 | -8.8 |
| 2020 | 29.7%(1,989) | 67.1%(4,489) | R+37.4 | +12.9 |
| 2016 | 23.1%(1,409) | 73.3%(4,480) | R+50.3 | -9.2 |
| 2014 | 27.6%(1,173) | 68.7%(2,922) | R+41.1 | +13.9 |
| 2010 | 21.3%(885) | 76.3%(3,166) | R+55.0 | -65.6 |
| 2008 | 55.3%(3,449) | 44.7%(2,787) | D+10.6 | +75.2 |
| 2004 | 16.9%(1,100) | 81.4%(5,306) | R+64.6 | -46.5 |
| 2002 | 40.2%(1,939) | 58.3%(2,810) | R+18.1 | +34.6 |
| 1998 | 23.4%(994) | 76.1%(3,225) | R+52.6 | -29.3 |
| 1996 | 37.8%(2,168) | 61.1%(3,509) | R+23.4 | +28.4 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21.8%(1,023) | 76.0%(3,570) | R+54.2 | -13.1 |
| 2018 | 28.6%(1,450) | 69.8%(3,537) | R+41.2 | +11.9 |
| 2014 | 22.0%(943) | 75.0%(3,217) | R+53.0 | -10.3 |
| 2010 | 27.0%(1,127) | 69.7%(2,913) | R+42.7 | -29.8 |
| 2006 | 42.9%(1,807) | 55.8%(2,352) | R+12.9 | +26.8 |
| 2002 | 29.4%(1,434) | 69.1%(3,375) | R+39.8 | -8.3 |
| 1998 | 34.0%(1,521) | 65.4%(2,925) | R+31.4 | +10.0 |
| 1994 | 28.7%(1,459) | 70.1%(3,563) | R+41.4 | +6.4 |
| 1990 | 25.9%(1,245) | 73.7%(3,543) | R+47.8 | -21.3 |
| 1986 | 36.7%(1,619) | 63.3%(2,788) | R+26.5 | +3.7 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(68.5%) | Other(19.7%) | ✓ |
| 2020 | Dem | Pete Buttigieg(28.2%) | Amy Klobuchar(20.3%) | ✗ |
| 2016 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(58.0%) | Hillary Clinton(42.0%) | ✗ |
| 2012 | Dem | Barack Obama(100.0%) | — | — |
| 2008 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(36.0%) | Barack Obama(35.0%) | ✗ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee