Carroll County, Kentucky: Northern Rural Secular
Kentucky · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+51.0
2024 Margin
R+6.5%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2000
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
11K
Population
Carroll County, Kentucky voted R+51.0 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 3,014 votes (74.88%). This represented a R+6.5% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
9.8
Elasticity
Inelastic
Trend
-2.5/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+51.0
2020→2024 SwingR+6.5%
Voting StreakR since 2000
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population10,810
Median Age
38.5(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
12.1%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$50,625(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
86.8%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
7.3%(US: 18.6%)
Black
1.7%(US: 12.3%)
Homeownership
64.2%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
18.9%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
6.5%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23.9%(963) | 74.9%(3,014) | R+51.0 | -6.5 |
| 2020 | 27.0%(1,116) | 71.4%(2,954) | R+44.4 | -6.0 |
| 2016 | 28.7%(1,106) | 67.1%(2,588) | R+38.4 | -28.4 |
| 2012 | 44.3%(1,629) | 54.3%(1,999) | R+10.1 | -1.8 |
| 2008 | 44.8%(1,716) | 53.0%(2,032) | R+8.2 | +4.3 |
| 2004 | 43.3%(1,688) | 55.8%(2,175) | R+12.5 | -6.3 |
| 2000 | 45.8%(1,601) | 52.0%(1,818) | R+6.2 | -22.2 |
| 1996 | 52.2%(1,689) | 36.1%(1,170) | D+16.0 | -12.6 |
| 1992 | 56.6%(2,119) | 27.9%(1,046) | D+28.6 | +22.8 |
| 1988 | 52.6%(1,913) | 46.8%(1,702) | D+5.8 | +13.4 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 30.8%(886) | 69.2%(1,992) | R+38.4 | -7.8 |
| 2020 | 31.6%(1,299) | 62.2%(2,560) | R+30.6 | -15.8 |
| 2016 | 42.6%(1,625) | 57.4%(2,193) | R+14.9 | -13.9 |
| 2014 | 47.8%(1,649) | 48.8%(1,683) | R+1.0 | -10.0 |
| 2010 | 54.5%(1,807) | 45.5%(1,509) | D+9.0 | -5.5 |
| 2008 | 57.2%(2,157) | 42.8%(1,612) | D+14.5 | +9.6 |
| 2004 | 52.4%(1,971) | 47.6%(1,788) | D+4.9 | +21.9 |
| 2002 | 41.5%(917) | 58.5%(1,293) | R+17.0 | -26.4 |
| 1998 | 54.3%(1,543) | 44.9%(1,276) | D+9.4 | +12.1 |
| 1996 | 47.4%(1,404) | 50.1%(1,484) | R+2.7 | -59.0 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 48.0%(1,112) | 52.0%(1,207) | R+4.1 | +3.1 |
| 2019 | 45.1%(1,184) | 52.4%(1,374) | R+7.2 | -10.3 |
| 2015 | 49.6%(923) | 46.6%(867) | D+3.0 | -36.4 |
| 2011 | 66.5%(1,176) | 27.2%(480) | D+39.4 | +4.3 |
| 2007 | 67.5%(1,473) | 32.5%(708) | D+35.1 | +23.4 |
| 2003 | 55.8%(1,252) | 44.2%(991) | D+11.6 | -46.1 |
| 1999 | 74.0%(1,134) | 16.2%(249) | D+57.7 | +35.2 |
| 1995 | 61.3%(1,340) | 38.7%(847) | D+22.5 | -31.9 |
| 1991 | 77.2%(1,561) | 22.8%(461) | D+54.4 | -3.8 |
| 1987 | 79.1%(1,611) | 20.9%(426) | D+58.2 | +23.5 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(92.0%) | Other(4.9%) | ✓ |
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(55.8%) | Other(23.5%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(49.4%) | Hillary Clinton(41.5%) | ✗ |
| 2016 | GOP | Ted Cruz(41.8%) | Donald Trump(36.1%) | ✗ |
| 2008 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(74.2%) | Barack Obama(21.4%) | ✗ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee