Keokuk County, Iowa: Northern Rural Secular
Iowa · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+51.5
2024 Margin
R+6.5%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2000
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
10K
Population
Keokuk County, Iowa voted R+51.5 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 3,869 votes (75.13%). This represented a R+6.5% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
9.4
Elasticity
Sticky
Trend
-2.0/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+51.5
2020→2024 SwingR+6.5%
Voting StreakR since 2000
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population10,033
Median Age
42.7(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
20.4%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$60,016(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
95.1%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
2.2%(US: 18.6%)
Homeownership
78.9%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
12.0%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
6.9%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23.7%(1,219) | 75.1%(3,869) | R+51.5 | -6.5 |
| 2020 | 26.7%(1,414) | 71.6%(3,797) | R+44.9 | -4.3 |
| 2016 | 26.6%(1,342) | 67.3%(3,390) | R+40.7 | -30.4 |
| 2012 | 43.7%(2,303) | 54.0%(2,843) | R+10.3 | -6.6 |
| 2008 | 47.0%(2,518) | 50.6%(2,712) | R+3.6 | +11.4 |
| 2004 | 41.9%(2,294) | 56.9%(3,119) | R+15.1 | -7.2 |
| 2000 | 44.1%(2,181) | 52.0%(2,571) | R+7.9 | -17.0 |
| 1996 | 49.9%(2,545) | 40.8%(2,080) | D+9.1 | +2.9 |
| 1992 | 41.8%(2,329) | 35.5%(1,981) | D+6.2 | -5.6 |
| 1988 | 55.4%(2,899) | 43.6%(2,278) | D+11.9 | +16.5 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 24.6%(949) | 72.7%(2,811) | R+48.2 | -8.3 |
| 2020 | 28.6%(1,489) | 68.5%(3,565) | R+39.9 | +14.1 |
| 2016 | 21.3%(1,045) | 75.2%(3,697) | R+54.0 | -20.9 |
| 2014 | 31.3%(1,161) | 64.4%(2,388) | R+33.1 | +16.5 |
| 2010 | 23.7%(915) | 73.3%(2,832) | R+49.6 | -71.4 |
| 2008 | 60.9%(3,170) | 39.1%(2,035) | D+21.8 | +83.8 |
| 2004 | 18.3%(990) | 80.3%(4,340) | R+62.0 | -64.9 |
| 2002 | 50.9%(1,978) | 48.0%(1,864) | D+2.9 | +53.9 |
| 1998 | 24.1%(907) | 75.0%(2,824) | R+50.9 | -55.9 |
| 1996 | 51.7%(2,570) | 46.7%(2,321) | D+5.0 | +54.6 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21.8%(837) | 76.9%(2,953) | R+55.1 | -20.3 |
| 2018 | 31.7%(1,294) | 66.5%(2,716) | R+34.8 | +9.6 |
| 2014 | 26.3%(981) | 70.7%(2,641) | R+44.4 | -16.0 |
| 2010 | 32.6%(1,276) | 61.0%(2,387) | R+28.4 | -26.8 |
| 2006 | 48.5%(1,840) | 50.0%(1,901) | R+1.6 | +0.5 |
| 2002 | 48.0%(1,898) | 50.1%(1,980) | R+2.1 | -4.9 |
| 1998 | 50.8%(2,015) | 47.9%(1,901) | D+2.9 | +31.2 |
| 1994 | 34.4%(1,585) | 62.7%(2,890) | R+28.3 | -0.6 |
| 1990 | 35.9%(1,590) | 63.6%(2,816) | R+27.7 | -26.9 |
| 1986 | 49.6%(1,964) | 50.4%(1,994) | R+0.8 | +7.6 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(74.6%) | Other(17.8%) | ✓ |
| 2020 | Dem | Pete Buttigieg(28.4%) | Bernie Sanders(22.5%) | ✗ |
| 2016 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(62.5%) | Bernie Sanders(35.0%) | ✓ |
| 2012 | Dem | Barack Obama(100.0%) | — | — |
| 2008 | Dem | John Edwards(38.5%) | Hillary Clinton(32.3%) | ✗ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee