Harford County, Maryland: Professional Migration
Maryland · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+13.7
2024 Margin
R+1.7%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1968
Voting Streak
🏘️ Prof. Migration
Classification
261K
Population
Harford County, Maryland voted R+13.7 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 83,050 votes (55.33%). This represented a R+1.7% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968.
Electoral Behavior
🏘️
Professional MigrationView all
Growing metro exurbs and suburbs receiving educated professionals from cities. These areas are shifting blue as remote work and urban flight bring liberal voters. Examples: Atlanta suburbs, DFW exurbs, Denver metro.
Volatility
3.8
Elasticity
Highly elastic
Trend
Stable
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+13.7
2020→2024 SwingR+1.7%
Voting StreakR since 1968
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population260,924
Median Age
40.4(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
56.4%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$106,417(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
72.5%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
5.6%(US: 18.6%)
Black
14.4%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
3.0%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
79.7%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
7.0%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
9.0%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41.6%(62,453) | 55.3%(83,050) | R+13.7 | -1.7 |
| 2020 | 42.6%(63,095) | 54.6%(80,930) | R+12.0 | +11.4 |
| 2016 | 35.8%(47,077) | 59.2%(77,860) | R+23.4 | -5.0 |
| 2012 | 39.5%(49,729) | 57.9%(72,911) | R+18.4 | +0.4 |
| 2008 | 39.4%(48,552) | 58.2%(71,751) | R+18.8 | +9.5 |
| 2004 | 35.2%(39,685) | 63.5%(71,565) | R+28.3 | -9.5 |
| 2000 | 39.0%(35,665) | 57.8%(52,862) | R+18.8 | -6.1 |
| 1996 | 38.1%(29,779) | 50.8%(39,686) | R+12.7 | -1.3 |
| 1992 | 33.7%(27,164) | 45.0%(36,350) | R+11.4 | +20.5 |
| 1988 | 33.8%(19,803) | 65.7%(38,493) | R+31.9 | +5.2 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 32.4%(48,108) | 64.2%(95,455) | R+31.8 | -19.8 |
| 2022 | 43.9%(45,315) | 56.0%(57,713) | R+12.0 | -2.2 |
| 2018 | 41.6%(45,921) | 51.5%(56,749) | R+9.8 | +14.8 |
| 2016 | 36.2%(47,858) | 60.8%(80,355) | R+24.6 | -22.9 |
| 2012 | 35.0%(43,274) | 36.8%(45,404) | R+1.7 | +8.8 |
| 2010 | 43.5%(40,712) | 54.0%(50,513) | R+10.5 | +16.0 |
| 2006 | 35.8%(32,590) | 62.3%(56,703) | R+26.5 | -23.8 |
| 2004 | 48.1%(53,444) | 50.8%(56,465) | R+2.7 | +4.7 |
| 2000 | 46.3%(41,679) | 53.6%(48,322) | R+7.4 | -28.8 |
| 1998 | 60.7%(43,938) | 39.3%(28,462) | D+21.4 | +20.6 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 43.8%(45,222) | 52.2%(53,962) | R+8.5 | +46.9 |
| 2018 | 21.7%(24,012) | 77.1%(85,259) | R+55.4 | -0.5 |
| 2014 | 21.7%(19,814) | 76.5%(69,986) | R+54.9 | -23.3 |
| 2010 | 33.0%(31,220) | 64.5%(61,068) | R+31.5 | -3.7 |
| 2006 | 35.6%(32,490) | 63.4%(57,882) | R+27.8 | +21.7 |
| 2002 | 24.9%(21,246) | 74.3%(63,553) | R+49.5 | -27.7 |
| 1998 | 39.1%(28,428) | 60.9%(44,300) | R+21.8 | +7.8 |
| 1994 | 35.2%(22,884) | 64.8%(42,124) | R+29.6 | -32.5 |
| 1990 | 51.5%(22,090) | 48.5%(20,832) | D+2.9 | -64.6 |
| 1986 | 83.8%(33,633) | 16.3%(6,528) | D+67.5 | +68.8 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(64.0%) | Nikki Haley(36.0%) | ✓ |
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(79.3%) | Bernie Sanders(9.4%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(51.2%) | Bernie Sanders(42.3%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | GOP | Donald Trump(61.0%) | John Kasich(19.6%) | ✓ |
| 2008 | Dem | Barack Obama(46.9%) | Hillary Clinton(46.4%) | ✓ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee