St. Mary's County, Maryland: Professional Migration
Maryland Β· Presidential Elections 1892β2024
R+17.1
2024 Margin
R+3.2%
2020β2024 Swing
R since 1980
Voting Streak
ποΈ Prof. Migration
Classification
114K
Population
St. Mary's County, Maryland voted R+17.1 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 33,582 votes (56.96%). This represented a R+3.2% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1980.
Electoral Behavior
ποΈ
Professional MigrationView all
Growing metro exurbs and suburbs receiving educated professionals from cities. These areas are shifting blue as remote work and urban flight bring liberal voters. Examples: Atlanta suburbs, DFW exurbs, Denver metro.
Volatility
2.7
Elasticity
Highly elastic
Trend
Stable
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+17.1
2020β2024 SwingR+3.2%
Voting StreakR since 1980
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population113,777
Median Age
37.0(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
50.2%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$113,668(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
71.0%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
6.0%(US: 18.6%)
Black
14.3%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
2.5%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
72.7%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
7.5%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
14.1%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39.9%(23,531) | 57.0%(33,582) | R+17.1 | -3.2 |
| 2020 | 41.6%(23,138) | 55.4%(30,826) | R+13.8 | +8.9 |
| 2016 | 35.8%(17,534) | 58.5%(28,663) | R+22.7 | -7.9 |
| 2012 | 41.2%(19,711) | 56.0%(26,797) | R+14.8 | -2.0 |
| 2008 | 42.8%(19,023) | 55.6%(24,705) | R+12.8 | +13.4 |
| 2004 | 36.3%(13,776) | 62.6%(23,725) | R+26.2 | -9.5 |
| 2000 | 40.4%(11,912) | 57.1%(16,856) | R+16.8 | -9.0 |
| 1996 | 42.0%(9,988) | 49.7%(11,835) | R+7.8 | +2.4 |
| 1992 | 35.6%(8,931) | 45.8%(11,485) | R+10.2 | +16.1 |
| 1988 | 36.6%(7,434) | 62.9%(12,767) | R+26.3 | +0.8 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31.6%(18,426) | 64.3%(37,471) | R+32.7 | -16.2 |
| 2022 | 41.7%(15,662) | 58.2%(21,869) | R+16.5 | -5.2 |
| 2018 | 42.0%(16,849) | 53.3%(21,393) | R+11.3 | +10.7 |
| 2016 | 38.8%(17,980) | 60.8%(28,207) | R+22.0 | -17.9 |
| 2012 | 38.3%(17,566) | 42.5%(19,480) | R+4.2 | -0.2 |
| 2010 | 46.9%(14,669) | 50.8%(15,911) | R+4.0 | +12.8 |
| 2006 | 40.8%(11,614) | 57.5%(16,381) | R+16.7 | -18.5 |
| 2004 | 50.0%(18,440) | 48.3%(17,802) | D+1.7 | -5.0 |
| 2000 | 53.3%(15,273) | 46.6%(13,357) | D+6.7 | -27.6 |
| 1998 | 67.1%(14,440) | 32.9%(7,067) | D+34.3 | +22.4 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 39.9%(15,057) | 56.1%(21,150) | R+16.2 | +37.4 |
| 2018 | 22.5%(9,084) | 76.0%(30,703) | R+53.5 | -6.0 |
| 2014 | 25.2%(8,203) | 72.7%(23,675) | R+47.5 | -32.3 |
| 2010 | 41.0%(12,990) | 56.2%(17,804) | R+15.2 | +2.9 |
| 2006 | 40.2%(11,516) | 58.3%(16,683) | R+18.1 | +9.4 |
| 2002 | 35.8%(9,048) | 63.2%(15,986) | R+27.4 | -18.5 |
| 1998 | 45.5%(9,929) | 54.5%(11,880) | R+8.9 | +8.1 |
| 1994 | 41.5%(7,902) | 58.5%(11,138) | R+17.0 | -43.3 |
| 1990 | 63.1%(8,838) | 36.9%(5,159) | D+26.3 | -36.5 |
| 1986 | 81.4%(9,600) | 18.6%(2,192) | D+62.8 | +25.1 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(88.5%) | Nikki Haley(11.5%) | β |
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(79.6%) | Bernie Sanders(8.6%) | β |
| 2016 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(52.4%) | Bernie Sanders(39.9%) | β |
| 2016 | GOP | Donald Trump(54.9%) | Ted Cruz(22.4%) | β |
| 2008 | Dem | Barack Obama(47.6%) | Hillary Clinton(45.1%) | β |
β = County picked eventual party nominee
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