Genesee County, Michigan: Declining Industrial Metro
Michigan · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
D+4.2
2024 Margin
R+5.1%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 1988
Voting Streak
🏭 Rust Belt
Classification
406K
Population
Genesee County, Michigan voted D+4.2 for Kamala Harris in 2024, with Harris receiving 114,670 votes (51.36%). This represented a R+5.1% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1988.
Electoral Behavior
🏭
Declining Industrial MetroView all
Rust Belt urban centers that voted for Obama but have shifted dramatically toward Republicans. Former manufacturing hubs experiencing economic decline and Democratic erosion.
Volatility
6.3
Elasticity
Moderate
Trend
-0.9/yr
Quick Stats
2024 ResultD+4.2
2020→2024 SwingR+5.1%
Voting StreakD since 1988
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population406,211
Median Age
40.5(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
30.8%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$58,594(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
70.6%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
4.1%(US: 18.6%)
Black
19.7%(US: 12.3%)
Homeownership
70.8%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
15.9%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
6.8%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 51.4%(114,670) | 47.2%(105,303) | D+4.2 | -5.1 |
| 2020 | 53.9%(119,390) | 44.6%(98,714) | D+9.3 | -0.1 |
| 2016 | 52.0%(102,751) | 42.6%(84,175) | D+9.4 | -18.7 |
| 2012 | 63.3%(128,978) | 35.2%(71,808) | D+28.1 | -4.4 |
| 2008 | 65.5%(143,927) | 33.0%(72,451) | D+32.5 | +11.7 |
| 2004 | 60.0%(128,334) | 39.2%(83,870) | D+20.8 | -7.1 |
| 2000 | 62.8%(119,833) | 34.9%(66,641) | D+27.9 | -4.7 |
| 1996 | 60.9%(106,065) | 28.3%(49,332) | D+32.6 | +3.9 |
| 1992 | 52.6%(105,156) | 23.9%(47,834) | D+28.7 | +9.5 |
| 1988 | 59.3%(104,880) | 40.1%(70,922) | D+19.2 | +21.1 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 52.4%(114,995) | 44.6%(97,999) | D+7.7 | -4.1 |
| 2020 | 54.9%(120,380) | 43.1%(94,505) | D+11.8 | -4.4 |
| 2018 | 57.0%(95,903) | 40.8%(68,648) | D+16.2 | -19.1 |
| 2014 | 65.8%(86,097) | 30.5%(39,895) | D+35.3 | -5.1 |
| 2012 | 68.6%(137,711) | 28.1%(56,502) | D+40.5 | -1.6 |
| 2008 | 69.2%(148,596) | 27.2%(58,302) | D+42.1 | +6.7 |
| 2006 | 66.9%(109,424) | 31.6%(51,612) | D+35.4 | -4.5 |
| 2002 | 69.1%(92,057) | 29.3%(39,030) | D+39.8 | +13.8 |
| 2000 | 61.9%(115,373) | 35.9%(66,910) | D+26.0 | -8.7 |
| 1996 | 66.5%(114,578) | 31.8%(54,808) | D+34.7 | +16.7 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 58.5%(100,325) | 39.8%(68,282) | D+18.7 | -3.0 |
| 2018 | 59.4%(100,073) | 37.7%(63,537) | D+21.7 | -1.6 |
| 2014 | 60.5%(79,566) | 37.2%(48,896) | D+23.3 | +18.7 |
| 2010 | 51.3%(68,708) | 46.7%(62,589) | D+4.6 | -28.2 |
| 2006 | 65.8%(107,848) | 33.0%(54,089) | D+32.8 | +11.3 |
| 2002 | 60.1%(80,687) | 38.6%(51,828) | D+21.5 | +23.8 |
| 1998 | 48.8%(66,608) | 51.2%(69,799) | R+2.3 | -2.4 |
| 1994 | 50.0%(73,873) | 50.0%(73,759) | D+0.1 | -18.8 |
| 1990 | 58.7%(67,057) | 39.8%(45,456) | D+18.9 | -39.7 |
| 1986 | 79.0%(89,778) | 20.4%(23,155) | D+58.6 | +36.6 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(73.6%) | Nikki Haley(21.4%) | ✓ |
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(58.5%) | Bernie Sanders(32.4%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(51.8%) | Bernie Sanders(46.5%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | GOP | Donald Trump(42.5%) | Ted Cruz(24.9%) | ✓ |
| 2008 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(55.6%) | Other(44.4%) | ✗ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee