Lake County, Michigan: Northern Rural Secular
Michigan · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+32.1
2024 Margin
R+5.9%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2016
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
12K
Population
Lake County, Michigan voted R+32.1 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 4,523 votes (65.27%). This represented a R+5.9% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2016.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
8.8
Elasticity
Sticky
Trend
-2.1/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+32.1
2020→2024 SwingR+5.9%
Voting StreakR since 2016
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population12,096
Median Age
51.8(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
15.7%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$45,946(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
75.8%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
9.3%(US: 18.6%)
Black
7.4%(US: 12.3%)
Homeownership
81.2%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
20.6%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
8.4%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33.2%(2,298) | 65.3%(4,523) | R+32.1 | -5.9 |
| 2020 | 36.2%(2,288) | 62.4%(3,946) | R+26.2 | -3.4 |
| 2016 | 36.2%(1,939) | 59.0%(3,159) | R+22.8 | -27.8 |
| 2012 | 51.8%(2,752) | 46.8%(2,487) | D+5.0 | -7.3 |
| 2008 | 55.2%(2,919) | 42.9%(2,269) | D+12.3 | +9.0 |
| 2004 | 51.0%(2,675) | 47.7%(2,503) | D+3.3 | -10.0 |
| 2000 | 55.1%(2,584) | 41.8%(1,961) | D+13.3 | -18.4 |
| 1996 | 59.3%(2,606) | 27.6%(1,213) | D+31.7 | +6.3 |
| 1992 | 51.7%(2,351) | 26.3%(1,194) | D+25.4 | +18.8 |
| 1988 | 53.0%(1,958) | 46.3%(1,713) | D+6.6 | +13.6 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33.3%(2,250) | 62.9%(4,257) | R+29.7 | -5.3 |
| 2020 | 36.7%(2,286) | 61.1%(3,804) | R+24.4 | -9.6 |
| 2018 | 41.1%(1,936) | 55.9%(2,633) | R+14.8 | -23.1 |
| 2014 | 51.0%(1,780) | 42.8%(1,492) | D+8.3 | -10.3 |
| 2012 | 57.4%(2,997) | 38.8%(2,028) | D+18.6 | -7.2 |
| 2008 | 60.9%(3,137) | 35.2%(1,813) | D+25.7 | +11.8 |
| 2006 | 55.8%(2,509) | 41.9%(1,885) | D+13.9 | -20.4 |
| 2002 | 66.2%(2,378) | 32.0%(1,148) | D+34.2 | +30.3 |
| 2000 | 50.1%(2,309) | 46.2%(2,127) | D+4.0 | -24.3 |
| 1996 | 63.1%(2,722) | 34.8%(1,503) | D+28.3 | +29.5 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 39.5%(2,081) | 58.0%(3,055) | R+18.5 | -3.7 |
| 2018 | 40.5%(1,904) | 55.4%(2,602) | R+14.8 | -12.3 |
| 2014 | 47.0%(1,656) | 49.6%(1,745) | R+2.5 | +21.0 |
| 2010 | 36.9%(1,354) | 60.5%(2,220) | R+23.6 | -24.1 |
| 2006 | 49.3%(2,228) | 48.7%(2,203) | D+0.6 | -5.8 |
| 2002 | 52.2%(1,904) | 45.8%(1,671) | D+6.4 | +13.4 |
| 1998 | 46.5%(1,593) | 53.5%(1,832) | R+7.0 | +17.6 |
| 1994 | 37.7%(1,252) | 62.3%(2,068) | R+24.6 | -25.9 |
| 1990 | 49.5%(1,423) | 48.2%(1,385) | D+1.3 | -48.5 |
| 1986 | 74.3%(1,887) | 24.5%(623) | D+49.8 | +32.8 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(76.7%) | Nikki Haley(20.1%) | ✓ |
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(63.7%) | Bernie Sanders(27.9%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(50.1%) | Bernie Sanders(47.0%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | GOP | Donald Trump(51.1%) | Ted Cruz(24.3%) | ✓ |
| 2008 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(62.1%) | Other(37.9%) | ✗ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee