Van Buren County, Michigan: Northern Rural Secular
Michigan · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+15.1
2024 Margin
R+2.8%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2016
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
76K
Population
Van Buren County, Michigan voted R+15.1 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 23,407 votes (56.75%). This represented a R+2.8% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2016.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
5.0
Elasticity
Moderate
Trend
-0.8/yr
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+15.1
2020→2024 SwingR+2.8%
Voting StreakR since 2016
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population75,587
Median Age
40.8(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
31.4%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$65,531(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
79.1%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
12.2%(US: 18.6%)
Black
3.2%(US: 12.3%)
Homeownership
80.5%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
13.8%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
6.5%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41.6%(17,175) | 56.8%(23,407) | R+15.1 | -2.8 |
| 2020 | 43.0%(16,803) | 55.3%(21,591) | R+12.3 | +1.7 |
| 2016 | 39.8%(13,258) | 53.8%(17,890) | R+13.9 | -14.4 |
| 2012 | 49.6%(16,290) | 49.1%(16,141) | D+0.5 | -8.3 |
| 2008 | 53.5%(18,588) | 44.7%(15,534) | D+8.8 | +13.1 |
| 2004 | 47.3%(16,151) | 51.6%(17,634) | R+4.3 | -1.0 |
| 2000 | 46.8%(13,796) | 50.2%(14,792) | R+3.4 | -10.6 |
| 1996 | 47.7%(13,355) | 40.6%(11,347) | D+7.2 | +0.2 |
| 1992 | 41.2%(12,466) | 34.3%(10,357) | D+7.0 | +22.1 |
| 1988 | 42.0%(10,668) | 57.2%(14,522) | R+15.2 | +14.6 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41.4%(16,808) | 55.6%(22,574) | R+14.2 | +1.0 |
| 2020 | 41.2%(15,944) | 56.4%(21,816) | R+15.2 | -7.7 |
| 2018 | 44.8%(13,191) | 52.2%(15,379) | R+7.4 | -10.2 |
| 2014 | 48.5%(10,663) | 45.7%(10,046) | D+2.8 | -6.9 |
| 2012 | 53.1%(17,166) | 43.4%(14,024) | D+9.7 | -5.9 |
| 2008 | 56.1%(18,932) | 40.5%(13,669) | D+15.6 | +5.2 |
| 2006 | 54.2%(14,201) | 43.8%(11,479) | D+10.4 | +0.8 |
| 2002 | 54.2%(10,935) | 44.6%(9,005) | D+9.6 | +20.3 |
| 2000 | 43.5%(12,399) | 54.2%(15,443) | R+10.7 | -18.9 |
| 1996 | 53.2%(13,912) | 45.0%(11,764) | D+8.2 | +36.1 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 48.0%(15,347) | 50.0%(15,974) | R+2.0 | +2.3 |
| 2018 | 46.0%(13,580) | 50.2%(14,824) | R+4.2 | +9.6 |
| 2014 | 41.6%(9,250) | 55.4%(12,310) | R+13.8 | +17.0 |
| 2010 | 33.3%(7,264) | 64.1%(13,985) | R+30.8 | -42.9 |
| 2006 | 55.3%(14,582) | 43.2%(11,403) | D+12.1 | +12.8 |
| 2002 | 49.1%(10,518) | 49.9%(10,685) | R+0.8 | +34.9 |
| 1998 | 32.1%(6,499) | 67.8%(13,715) | R+35.7 | -0.2 |
| 1994 | 32.2%(6,612) | 67.8%(13,894) | R+35.5 | -20.4 |
| 1990 | 42.0%(7,230) | 57.1%(9,827) | R+15.1 | -49.6 |
| 1986 | 67.1%(10,560) | 32.6%(5,127) | D+34.5 | +43.3 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(68.0%) | Nikki Haley(26.8%) | ✓ |
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(54.3%) | Bernie Sanders(35.7%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(58.5%) | Hillary Clinton(39.7%) | ✗ |
| 2016 | GOP | Donald Trump(35.6%) | Ted Cruz(27.9%) | ✓ |
| 2008 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(59.3%) | Other(40.7%) | ✗ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee