Dakota County, Minnesota: Professional Migration

Minnesota · Presidential Elections 1892–2024

D+12.8

2024 Margin

R+1.1%

2020→2024 Swing

D since 2008

Voting Streak

440K

Population

Dakota County, Minnesota voted D+12.8 for Kamala Harris in 2024, with Harris receiving 143,267 votes (55.14%). This represented a R+1.1% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultD+12.8

2020→2024 SwingR+1.1%

Voting StreakD since 2008

Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population439,882

Median Age

38.4(US: 38.4)

College (BA+)

44.6%(US: 34.6%)

Median Income

$101,360(US: $78k)

White (non-Hisp)

73.8%(US: 57.5%)

Hispanic

8.4%(US: 18.6%)

Black

7.4%(US: 12.3%)

Asian

5.2%(US: 5.7%)

Homeownership

75.3%(US: 64.2%)

Poverty Rate

5.6%(US: 12.4%)

Veterans

6.2%(US: 6.4%)

Non-English (CVAP)

9.3%(US: 17.1%)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020

Catholic

23.6%(+4.9 vs US)

Evangelical

14.2%(-2.3 vs US)

Mainline Protestant

9.8%(+4.6 vs US)

LDS/Mormon

0.7%(-1.3 vs US)

Jewish

0.2%

Age Distribution

Median:38.4 yrs(US: 38.5)

Under 18

24.2%↑

18-29

7.7%↓

30-44

20.2%

45-64

32.6%↑

65+

15.4%

National average

Employment by Industry

Source: Census ACS

Professional Services

12.7%

Retail Trade

11.1%

Manufacturing

10.8%

Education

7.4%

ConstructionBelow avg

5.5%

HealthcareVery low

4.3%

Political relevance:

Healthcare: ACA debatesAgriculture: Farm bill, rural R

+ 1 more industries

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

Year	Democrat	Republican	Margin	Swing
2024	55.1%(143,267)	42.3%(109,995)	D+12.8	R+1.1
2020	55.7%(146,155)	41.8%(109,638)	D+13.9	D+9.3
2016	47.7%(110,592)	43.1%(99,864)	D+4.6	D+1.7
2012	50.4%(116,255)	47.5%(109,516)	D+2.9	R+2.6
2008	51.8%(116,778)	46.3%(104,364)	D+5.5	D+7.5
2004	48.5%(104,635)	50.5%(108,959)	R+2.0	R+1.0
2000	46.9%(85,446)	47.9%(87,250)	R+1.0	R+14.0
1996	50.1%(77,297)	37.1%(57,244)	D+13.0	D+5.8
1992	40.5%(63,660)	33.3%(52,312)	D+7.2	D+6.9
1988	49.7%(61,942)	49.5%(61,606)	D+0.3	D+6.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Senate Elections

Senate Results

Year	Democrat	Republican	Margin	Swing
2024	62.3%(153,609)	37.8%(93,160)	D+24.5	D+14.3
2020	55.1%(131,394)	44.9%(107,117)	D+10.2	R+8.6
2018	59.4%(236,407)	40.6%(161,612)	D+18.8	D+15.8
2014	51.5%(75,860)	48.5%(71,509)	D+3.0	R+25.8
2012	64.4%(139,161)	35.6%(77,031)	D+28.7	D+38.0
2008	45.4%(85,298)	54.6%(102,701)	R+9.3	R+25.4
2006	58.1%(93,247)	41.9%(67,289)	D+16.2	D+32.8
2002	41.7%(68,742)	58.3%(96,149)	R+16.6	R+16.1
2000	49.7%(82,412)	50.3%(83,356)	R+0.6	R+6.1
1996	52.8%(73,470)	47.2%(65,756)	D+5.5	D+15.7

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

Year	Democrat	Republican	Margin	Swing
2022	0.0%(0)	100.0%(83,220)	R+100.0	R+112.2
2018	56.1%(111,429)	43.9%(87,266)	D+12.2	D+12.6
2014	49.8%(72,052)	50.2%(72,714)	R+0.5	D+9.0
2010	45.3%(63,066)	54.7%(76,211)	R+9.4	D+2.9
2006	43.8%(67,939)	56.2%(87,039)	R+12.3	D+13.4
2002	37.1%(53,440)	62.9%(90,534)	R+25.8	D+74.2
1998	0.0%(0)	100.0%(56,242)	R+100.0	R+53.8
1994	26.9%(29,969)	73.1%(81,475)	R+46.2	R+28.4
1990	41.1%(44,230)	58.9%(63,354)	R+17.8	R+21.3
1986	51.8%(34,084)	48.3%(31,781)	D+3.5	R+6.2

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Primary Election History

Primary Results

Year	Party	Winner	Runner-up	Nominee?
2024	GOP	Donald Trump(64.4%)	Nikki Haley(33.5%)	✓
2020	Dem	Joe Biden(43.8%)	Bernie Sanders(27.4%)	✓
2016	Dem	Hillary Clinton(58.3%)	Bernie Sanders(41.8%)	✓
2008	Dem	Barack Obama(63.3%)	Hillary Clinton(35.2%)	✓