Itasca County, Minnesota: Northern Rural Secular
Minnesota · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+20.1
2024 Margin
R+3.3%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2016
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
45K
Population
Itasca County, Minnesota voted R+20.1 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 15,863 votes (59.1%). This represented a R+3.3% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2016.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
8.7
Elasticity
Sticky
Trend
-1.3/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+20.1
2020→2024 SwingR+3.3%
Voting StreakR since 2016
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population45,014
Median Age
46.8(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
33.9%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$63,962(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
88.9%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
1.4%(US: 18.6%)
Homeownership
81.9%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
12.7%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
9.8%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39.0%(10,467) | 59.1%(15,863) | R+20.1 | -3.3 |
| 2020 | 40.6%(10,786) | 57.4%(15,239) | R+16.8 | -0.4 |
| 2016 | 37.8%(9,015) | 54.1%(12,920) | R+16.4 | -26.2 |
| 2012 | 53.7%(12,852) | 43.9%(10,501) | D+9.8 | -3.1 |
| 2008 | 55.2%(13,460) | 42.3%(10,309) | D+12.9 | +2.3 |
| 2004 | 54.5%(13,290) | 43.9%(10,705) | D+10.6 | +5.8 |
| 2000 | 48.7%(10,583) | 44.0%(9,545) | D+4.8 | -15.7 |
| 1996 | 52.3%(10,706) | 31.8%(6,506) | D+20.5 | +2.9 |
| 1992 | 46.2%(9,621) | 28.6%(5,952) | D+17.6 | +6.3 |
| 1988 | 55.2%(10,517) | 43.9%(8,358) | D+11.3 | +1.1 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 44.4%(11,741) | 53.2%(14,065) | R+8.8 | +4.5 |
| 2020 | 39.9%(10,463) | 53.2%(13,949) | R+13.3 | -24.3 |
| 2018 | 53.5%(11,585) | 42.5%(9,203) | D+11.0 | -6.6 |
| 2014 | 56.8%(10,781) | 39.2%(7,447) | D+17.6 | -18.7 |
| 2012 | 66.4%(15,382) | 30.1%(6,967) | D+36.3 | +26.9 |
| 2008 | 47.6%(11,544) | 38.2%(9,263) | D+9.4 | -18.6 |
| 2006 | 62.2%(12,082) | 34.1%(6,630) | D+28.1 | +12.4 |
| 2002 | 55.4%(10,928) | 39.8%(7,849) | D+15.6 | +1.1 |
| 2000 | 54.8%(11,855) | 40.2%(8,710) | D+14.5 | -2.5 |
| 1996 | 54.8%(11,188) | 37.8%(7,712) | D+17.0 | +18.8 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0.0%(0) | 53.8%(11,488) | R+53.8 | -52.2 |
| 2018 | 47.0%(10,130) | 48.6%(10,470) | R+1.6 | -17.1 |
| 2014 | 55.0%(10,395) | 39.5%(7,460) | D+15.5 | -1.5 |
| 2010 | 52.9%(10,379) | 35.9%(7,041) | D+17.0 | -2.0 |
| 2006 | 56.5%(10,976) | 37.4%(7,270) | D+19.1 | +2.9 |
| 2002 | 50.8%(9,917) | 34.7%(6,770) | D+16.1 | +53.9 |
| 1998 | 0.0%(0) | 37.8%(7,181) | R+37.8 | -34.7 |
| 1994 | 46.3%(8,515) | 49.4%(9,090) | R+3.1 | -41.9 |
| 1990 | 67.1%(11,874) | 28.3%(5,011) | D+38.8 | +1.6 |
| 1986 | 68.2%(11,387) | 31.0%(5,180) | D+37.2 | -19.4 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(78.8%) | Nikki Haley(19.6%) | ✓ |
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(38.3%) | Bernie Sanders(19.3%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(75.2%) | Hillary Clinton(24.8%) | ✗ |
| 2008 | Dem | Barack Obama(53.3%) | Hillary Clinton(42.2%) | ✓ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee