Marshall County, Minnesota: Northern Rural Secular
Minnesota · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+51.6
2024 Margin
R+4.2%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2012
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
9K
Population
Marshall County, Minnesota voted R+51.6 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 3,774 votes (75.01%). This represented a R+4.2% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2012.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
9.2
Elasticity
Inelastic
Trend
-1.9/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+51.6
2020→2024 SwingR+4.2%
Voting StreakR since 2012
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population9,040
Median Age
42.8(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
22.7%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$69,396(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
91.8%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
4.6%(US: 18.6%)
Homeownership
85.2%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
7.4%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
7.2%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23.4%(1,177) | 75.0%(3,774) | R+51.6 | -4.2 |
| 2020 | 25.3%(1,295) | 72.8%(3,721) | R+47.5 | -6.3 |
| 2016 | 25.4%(1,225) | 66.6%(3,208) | R+41.2 | -29.0 |
| 2012 | 42.5%(1,998) | 54.7%(2,569) | R+12.2 | -12.7 |
| 2008 | 48.8%(2,311) | 48.2%(2,285) | D+0.6 | +16.4 |
| 2004 | 41.5%(2,308) | 57.3%(3,187) | R+15.8 | +3.5 |
| 2000 | 36.7%(1,910) | 56.0%(2,912) | R+19.3 | -24.4 |
| 1996 | 45.3%(2,333) | 40.1%(2,068) | D+5.1 | +2.2 |
| 1992 | 39.8%(2,309) | 36.8%(2,136) | D+3.0 | -1.3 |
| 1988 | 51.6%(3,001) | 47.4%(2,752) | D+4.3 | +16.0 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 35.9%(1,764) | 61.3%(3,010) | R+25.4 | +9.8 |
| 2020 | 29.7%(1,490) | 65.0%(3,255) | R+35.2 | -29.0 |
| 2018 | 45.4%(1,864) | 51.6%(2,120) | R+6.2 | -12.5 |
| 2014 | 50.3%(2,054) | 43.9%(1,796) | D+6.3 | -26.9 |
| 2012 | 64.8%(2,973) | 31.6%(1,448) | D+33.3 | +45.4 |
| 2008 | 37.3%(1,752) | 49.4%(2,322) | R+12.1 | -32.2 |
| 2006 | 58.3%(2,571) | 38.2%(1,684) | D+20.1 | +14.6 |
| 2002 | 50.7%(2,439) | 45.2%(2,173) | D+5.5 | +5.0 |
| 2000 | 48.7%(2,510) | 48.1%(2,482) | D+0.5 | +2.4 |
| 1996 | 47.2%(2,429) | 49.1%(2,527) | R+1.9 | +5.4 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0.0%(0) | 73.0%(2,970) | R+73.0 | -46.7 |
| 2018 | 35.1%(1,436) | 61.5%(2,512) | R+26.3 | -27.1 |
| 2014 | 47.4%(1,916) | 46.6%(1,884) | D+0.8 | -6.8 |
| 2010 | 48.2%(2,028) | 40.6%(1,708) | D+7.6 | +6.8 |
| 2006 | 47.6%(2,096) | 46.8%(2,060) | D+0.8 | -6.9 |
| 2002 | 48.8%(2,348) | 41.1%(1,975) | D+7.8 | +48.2 |
| 1998 | 0.0%(0) | 40.5%(1,959) | R+40.5 | -28.5 |
| 1994 | 41.5%(1,982) | 53.5%(2,556) | R+12.0 | -39.7 |
| 1990 | 62.8%(3,004) | 35.2%(1,681) | D+27.7 | -2.4 |
| 1986 | 64.6%(3,521) | 34.6%(1,885) | D+30.0 | +8.5 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(80.6%) | Nikki Haley(17.7%) | ✓ |
| 2020 | Dem | Amy Klobuchar(34.0%) | Joe Biden(27.4%) | ✗ |
| 2016 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(63.1%) | Hillary Clinton(36.9%) | ✗ |
| 2008 | Dem | Barack Obama(47.7%) | Hillary Clinton(47.7%) | ✓ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee