Polk County, Minnesota: Northern Rural Secular

Minnesota Β· Presidential Elections 1892–2024

R+33.7
2024 Margin
R+5.3%
2020β†’2024 Swing
R since 2012
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
31K
Population

Polk County, Minnesota voted R+33.7 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 10,162 votes (65.91%). This represented a R+5.3% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2012.

Electoral Behavior

🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all

Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.

Volatility
7.6
Elasticity
Moderate
Trend
-1.2/yr (red)

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+33.7
2020β†’2024 SwingR+5.3%
Voting StreakR since 2012
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population31,192
Median Age
39.3(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
35.8%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$69,540(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
84.7%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
6.7%(US: 18.6%)
Black
3.1%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
1.1%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
72.1%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
11.7%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
6.9%(US: 6.4%)

Presidential Elections

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202432.2%(4,967)65.9%(10,162)R+33.7-5.3
202034.9%(5,439)63.3%(9,865)R+28.4+0.5
201631.9%(4,712)60.7%(8,979)R+28.8-23.1
201246.1%(6,773)51.8%(7,615)R+5.7-10.3
200851.2%(7,850)46.6%(7,148)D+4.6+17.3
200443.0%(6,729)55.7%(8,724)R+12.7+0.3
200040.8%(5,764)53.8%(7,609)R+13.1-19.0
199646.9%(6,369)40.9%(5,563)D+5.9+5.7
199239.2%(5,850)39.0%(5,817)D+0.2-3.1
198851.3%(7,523)48.0%(7,032)D+3.4+13.4

Senate Elections

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202440.6%(6,133)56.7%(8,558)R+16.1+3.4
202036.5%(5,577)55.9%(8,559)R+19.5-19.0
201848.2%(5,729)48.7%(5,785)R+0.5-3.1
201448.7%(4,778)46.1%(4,522)D+2.6-28.6
201263.4%(8,975)32.2%(4,555)D+31.2+40.7
200839.1%(5,926)48.6%(7,353)R+9.4-25.6
200656.4%(6,806)40.3%(4,857)D+16.2+11.8
200250.3%(6,407)46.0%(5,854)D+4.3+1.8
200049.4%(6,954)46.9%(6,602)D+2.5+6.2
199646.5%(6,324)50.2%(6,829)R+3.7+2.4

Governor Elections

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
20220.0%(0)65.7%(7,180)R+65.7-47.9
201839.4%(4,642)57.1%(6,736)R+17.8-15.0
201445.9%(4,476)48.6%(4,742)R+2.7-3.0
201044.7%(4,797)44.4%(4,763)D+0.3-0.5
200647.9%(5,776)47.1%(5,678)D+0.8-20.0
200256.4%(7,153)35.7%(4,521)D+20.8+61.4
19980.0%(0)40.7%(4,462)R+40.7-19.9
199437.8%(4,308)58.5%(6,667)R+20.7-40.5
199058.6%(6,617)38.9%(4,387)D+19.8+3.2
198658.1%(7,169)41.5%(5,125)D+16.6+4.8

Primary Election History

YearPartyWinnerRunner-upNominee?
2024GOPDonald Trump(79.7%)Nikki Haley(18.2%)βœ“
2020DemJoe Biden(38.4%)Amy Klobuchar(20.4%)βœ“
2016DemBernie Sanders(63.1%)Hillary Clinton(36.9%)βœ—
2008DemBarack Obama(51.1%)Hillary Clinton(45.7%)βœ“
βœ“ = County picked eventual party nominee

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Source: Official state election returns
akashicedge.com/counties/0500000US27119