Valley County, Montana: Northern Rural Secular
Montana · Presidential Elections 1896–2024
R+51.1
2024 Margin
R+1.7%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1996
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
8K
Population
Valley County, Montana voted R+51.1 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 3,019 votes (74.01%). This represented a R+1.7% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1996.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
6.7
Elasticity
Inelastic
Trend
-1.9/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+51.1
2020→2024 SwingR+1.7%
Voting StreakR since 1996
Elections on Record33
Demographics
Population7,578
Median Age
43.2(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
25.2%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$59,725(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
84.8%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
2.6%(US: 18.6%)
Homeownership
77.7%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
12.9%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
8.2%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22.9%(935) | 74.0%(3,019) | R+51.1 | -1.7 |
| 2020 | 24.2%(1,030) | 73.6%(3,135) | R+49.4 | -2.9 |
| 2016 | 22.8%(886) | 69.3%(2,698) | R+46.5 | -21.9 |
| 2012 | 35.9%(1,385) | 60.6%(2,337) | R+24.7 | -12.5 |
| 2008 | 42.1%(1,645) | 54.2%(2,121) | R+12.2 | +13.8 |
| 2004 | 35.6%(1,431) | 61.6%(2,476) | R+26.0 | +4.9 |
| 2000 | 32.1%(1,273) | 63.1%(2,500) | R+31.0 | -27.1 |
| 1996 | 39.8%(1,674) | 43.7%(1,838) | R+3.9 | -8.7 |
| 1992 | 37.5%(1,715) | 32.8%(1,497) | D+4.8 | +11.2 |
| 1988 | 46.0%(2,163) | 52.4%(2,467) | R+6.5 | +18.8 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31.9%(1,307) | 65.3%(2,672) | R+33.4 | +5.3 |
| 2020 | 30.7%(1,306) | 69.3%(2,953) | R+38.7 | -23.4 |
| 2018 | 39.8%(1,545) | 55.0%(2,137) | R+15.3 | +18.9 |
| 2014 | 31.6%(1,055) | 65.8%(2,193) | R+34.1 | -32.2 |
| 2012 | 45.0%(1,749) | 46.9%(1,824) | R+1.9 | -56.8 |
| 2008 | 77.4%(2,964) | 22.6%(864) | D+54.9 | +66.6 |
| 2006 | 42.9%(1,560) | 54.7%(1,987) | R+11.8 | -59.9 |
| 2002 | 72.4%(2,520) | 24.3%(845) | D+48.1 | +59.0 |
| 2000 | 43.5%(1,746) | 54.4%(2,182) | R+10.9 | -10.1 |
| 1996 | 47.0%(2,021) | 47.8%(2,055) | R+0.8 | +33.6 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23.6%(961) | 73.8%(3,009) | R+50.2 | -9.8 |
| 2020 | 27.8%(1,182) | 68.2%(2,899) | R+40.4 | -18.2 |
| 2016 | 37.1%(1,465) | 59.3%(2,343) | R+22.2 | -15.2 |
| 2012 | 44.3%(1,708) | 51.3%(1,979) | R+7.0 | -41.6 |
| 2008 | 66.4%(2,590) | 31.9%(1,243) | D+34.5 | +19.6 |
| 2004 | 55.6%(2,215) | 40.7%(1,621) | D+14.9 | +24.6 |
| 2000 | 44.0%(1,750) | 53.8%(2,137) | R+9.7 | +46.8 |
| 1996 | 21.7%(923) | 78.3%(3,326) | R+56.5 | -51.4 |
| 1992 | 47.5%(2,057) | 52.5%(2,278) | R+5.1 | -5.9 |
| 1988 | 48.7%(2,263) | 47.9%(2,225) | D+0.8 | -47.5 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(90.7%) | Other(9.3%) | ✓ |
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(76.5%) | Bernie Sanders(11.6%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(46.6%) | Bernie Sanders(45.8%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | GOP | Donald Trump(77.8%) | Ted Cruz(10.0%) | ✓ |
| 2008 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(49.5%) | Barack Obama(45.0%) | ✗ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee