Ocean County, New Jersey: Republican Migration
New Jersey · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+35.9
2024 Margin
R+7.0%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2000
Voting Streak
🏠 GOP Migration
Classification
637K
Population
Ocean County, New Jersey voted R+35.9 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 227,232 votes (67.22%). This represented a R+7.0% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000.
Electoral Behavior
🏠
Republican MigrationView all
Fast-growing counties attracting conservative migrants, shifting further red. Concentrated in ID, UT, and parts of TX/GA. These areas are both growing and becoming more Republican relative to national trends.
Volatility
7.9
Elasticity
Responsive
Trend
-1.1/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+35.9
2020→2024 SwingR+7.0%
Voting StreakR since 2000
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population637,229
Median Age
41.8(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
45.7%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$82,379(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
81.8%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
10.6%(US: 18.6%)
Black
3.0%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
1.9%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
80.2%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
10.4%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
6.5%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31.3%(105,789) | 67.2%(227,232) | R+35.9 | -7.0 |
| 2020 | 35.2%(119,456) | 64.1%(217,740) | R+28.9 | +4.3 |
| 2016 | 31.5%(87,150) | 64.7%(179,079) | R+33.2 | -15.7 |
| 2012 | 40.6%(102,300) | 58.2%(146,475) | R+17.5 | +0.9 |
| 2008 | 40.2%(110,189) | 58.6%(160,677) | R+18.4 | +2.8 |
| 2004 | 38.9%(99,839) | 60.1%(154,204) | R+21.2 | -19.6 |
| 2000 | 47.2%(102,104) | 48.8%(105,684) | R+1.6 | -7.3 |
| 1996 | 46.4%(94,243) | 40.8%(82,830) | D+5.6 | +15.1 |
| 1992 | 34.9%(75,431) | 44.4%(95,984) | R+9.5 | +22.1 |
| 1988 | 33.8%(64,474) | 65.4%(124,587) | R+31.6 | +9.9 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 35.4%(109,610) | 63.5%(197,040) | R+28.2 | -0.3 |
| 2020 | 35.2%(116,036) | 63.1%(207,751) | R+27.9 | +1.7 |
| 2018 | 33.7%(75,597) | 63.3%(141,902) | R+29.6 | -12.4 |
| 2014 | 40.3%(55,631) | 57.4%(79,254) | R+17.1 | +12.7 |
| 2013 | 34.7%(36,665) | 64.5%(68,166) | R+29.8 | -15.8 |
| 2012 | 42.1%(99,362) | 56.1%(132,413) | R+14.0 | -2.1 |
| 2008 | 43.1%(109,393) | 55.0%(139,480) | R+11.9 | +5.5 |
| 2006 | 39.9%(64,621) | 57.2%(92,819) | R+17.4 | -10.0 |
| 2002 | 45.2%(69,328) | 52.6%(80,592) | R+7.3 | +8.8 |
| 2000 | 40.2%(82,596) | 56.4%(115,686) | R+16.1 | -15.4 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 32.5%(90,323) | 67.0%(185,957) | R+34.4 | -8.1 |
| 2017 | 35.8%(56,582) | 62.1%(98,135) | R+26.3 | +26.6 |
| 2013 | 22.9%(37,930) | 75.8%(125,781) | R+52.9 | -15.6 |
| 2009 | 28.4%(53,761) | 65.7%(124,238) | R+37.3 | -24.7 |
| 2005 | 41.6%(71,953) | 54.2%(93,693) | R+12.6 | -16.7 |
| 2001 | 51.3%(84,538) | 47.1%(77,726) | D+4.1 | +21.2 |
| 1997 | 36.7%(57,944) | 53.8%(84,897) | R+17.1 | -11.3 |
| 1993 | 45.7%(78,132) | 51.4%(87,943) | R+5.7 | -19.8 |
| 1989 | 56.1%(83,587) | 42.1%(62,700) | D+14.0 | +62.5 |
| 1985 | 25.1%(30,948) | 73.7%(90,670) | R+48.5 | -28.4 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(83.0%) | Bernie Sanders(14.0%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(54.2%) | Bernie Sanders(45.3%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | GOP | Donald Trump(88.0%) | John Kasich(7.4%) | ✓ |
| 2008 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(63.9%) | Barack Obama(32.6%) | ✗ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee