Nash County, North Carolina: Razor-Thin Margins

North Carolina · Presidential Elections 1892–2024

R+1.8

2024 Margin

R+2.0%

2020→2024 Swing

R since 2024

Voting Streak

95K

Population

Nash County, North Carolina voted R+1.8 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 26,431 votes (50.37%). This represented a R+2.0% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2024.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+1.8

2020→2024 SwingR+2.0%

Voting StreakR since 2024

Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population94,970

Median Age

41.7(US: 38.4)

College (BA+)

21.7%(US: 34.6%)

Median Income

$56,770(US: $78k)

White (non-Hisp)

46.9%(US: 57.5%)

Hispanic

7.9%(US: 18.6%)

Black

38.9%(US: 12.3%)

Homeownership

63.7%(US: 64.2%)

Poverty Rate

14.0%(US: 12.4%)

Veterans

7.5%(US: 6.4%)

Non-English (CVAP)

3.9%(US: 17.1%)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020

Evangelical

38.5%(+22.0 vs US)

Mainline Protestant

8.8%(+3.6 vs US)

Black Protestant

3.1%(+0.9 vs US)

Catholic

1.0%(-17.7 vs US)

Age Distribution

Median:41.7 yrs(US: 38.5)

Under 18

22.1%

18-29

8.2%↓

30-44

17.8%

45-64

33.0%↑

65+

18.9%

National average

Employment by Industry

Source: Census ACS

ManufacturingVery high

17.6%

Retail Trade

12.2%

ConstructionAbove avg

8.8%

Education

8.4%

Professional ServicesBelow avg

7.9%

HealthcareVery low

3.8%

Political relevance:

Manufacturing: Trade policy sensitiveHealthcare: ACA debates

+ 1 more industries

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

Year	Democrat	Republican	Margin	Swing
2024	48.6%(25,508)	50.4%(26,431)	R+1.8	R+2.0
2020	49.6%(25,947)	49.4%(25,827)	D+0.2	D+0.4
2016	48.8%(23,235)	48.9%(23,319)	R+0.2	R+1.1
2012	50.1%(24,313)	49.2%(23,842)	D+1.0	D+2.3
2008	49.0%(23,099)	50.4%(23,728)	R+1.3	D+15.2
2004	41.7%(15,693)	58.1%(21,902)	R+16.5	D+1.9
2000	40.6%(12,376)	59.0%(17,995)	R+18.4	R+3.7
1996	39.4%(11,142)	54.2%(15,309)	R+14.7	R+2.6
1992	36.2%(10,809)	48.3%(14,446)	R+12.2	D+16.8
1988	35.4%(8,740)	64.3%(15,906)	R+29.0	D+4.6

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Senate Elections

Senate Results

Year	Democrat	Republican	Margin	Swing
2022	45.9%(16,401)	52.6%(18,796)	R+6.7	R+8.2
2020	49.1%(25,474)	47.6%(24,719)	D+1.4	D+2.2
2016	48.6%(23,093)	49.4%(23,450)	R+0.8	D+0.8
2014	47.7%(16,325)	49.3%(16,869)	R+1.6	D+4.3
2010	46.4%(14,403)	52.3%(16,244)	R+5.9	R+13.9
2008	53.1%(24,964)	45.1%(21,234)	D+7.9	D+14.2
2004	46.4%(17,611)	52.7%(19,985)	R+6.3	D+7.4
2002	42.7%(11,032)	56.3%(14,564)	R+13.7	R+3.5
1998	44.4%(10,374)	54.5%(12,752)	R+10.2	D+14.0
1996	37.5%(10,906)	61.6%(17,920)	R+24.1	R+7.7

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

Year	Democrat	Republican	Margin	Swing
2024	55.3%(28,454)	41.4%(21,317)	D+13.9	D+6.9
2020	53.1%(27,692)	46.1%(24,062)	D+7.0	D+2.4
2016	51.7%(24,646)	47.2%(22,486)	D+4.5	D+6.6
2012	48.5%(23,449)	50.6%(24,471)	R+2.1	R+13.4
2008	54.9%(25,837)	43.6%(20,531)	D+11.3	R+12.1
2004	61.3%(23,385)	37.9%(14,452)	D+23.4	D+6.5
2000	58.1%(18,261)	41.2%(12,953)	D+16.9	D+6.5
1996	54.8%(15,985)	44.4%(12,950)	D+10.4	D+20.5
1992	43.4%(12,848)	53.5%(15,839)	R+10.1	D+11.7
1988	39.1%(9,754)	60.9%(15,179)	R+21.8	R+8.8

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Primary Election History

Primary Results

Year	Party	Winner	Runner-up	Nominee?
2020	Dem	Joe Biden(54.1%)	Bernie Sanders(17.7%)	✓
2016	Dem	Hillary Clinton(65.7%)	Bernie Sanders(28.3%)	✓
2016	GOP	Ted Cruz(43.0%)	Donald Trump(41.3%)	✗
2008	Dem	Barack Obama(59.1%)	Hillary Clinton(38.2%)	✓