Warren County, North Carolina: Black Belt
North Carolina · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
D+18.9
2024 Margin
R+6.8%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 1976
Voting Streak
🗳️ Black Belt
Classification
19K
Population
Warren County, North Carolina voted D+18.9 for Kamala Harris in 2024, with Harris receiving 5,872 votes (58.64%). This represented a R+6.8% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1976.
Electoral Behavior
🗳️
Black BeltView all
Southern counties with 40%+ Black population, a distinct region shaped by the history of slavery and the plantation economy. Voting patterns are heavily influenced by racial demographics.
Volatility
1.8
Elasticity
Inelastic
Trend
-0.5/yr
Quick Stats
2024 ResultD+18.9
2020→2024 SwingR+6.8%
Voting StreakD since 1976
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population18,642
Median Age
48.6(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
25.2%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$42,282(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
37.7%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
4.4%(US: 18.6%)
Black
48.9%(US: 12.3%)
Homeownership
69.8%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
22.2%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
8.9%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 58.6%(5,872) | 39.7%(3,976) | D+18.9 | -6.8 |
| 2020 | 62.2%(6,400) | 36.5%(3,752) | D+25.7 | -6.8 |
| 2016 | 65.2%(6,413) | 32.7%(3,214) | D+32.5 | -5.3 |
| 2012 | 68.7%(6,978) | 30.9%(3,140) | D+37.8 | -1.7 |
| 2008 | 69.5%(7,086) | 30.0%(3,063) | D+39.5 | +10.4 |
| 2004 | 64.4%(5,171) | 35.4%(2,840) | D+29.0 | -5.9 |
| 2000 | 67.3%(4,576) | 32.4%(2,202) | D+34.9 | -1.0 |
| 1996 | 65.3%(4,141) | 29.4%(1,861) | D+36.0 | -4.6 |
| 1992 | 65.3%(4,656) | 24.8%(1,767) | D+40.5 | +8.1 |
| 1988 | 66.1%(4,249) | 33.6%(2,163) | D+32.5 | +13.1 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 60.5%(4,344) | 38.3%(2,753) | D+22.1 | -6.3 |
| 2020 | 62.7%(6,437) | 34.3%(3,520) | D+28.4 | -3.1 |
| 2016 | 64.8%(6,336) | 33.3%(3,258) | D+31.5 | -4.8 |
| 2014 | 66.9%(4,441) | 30.6%(2,033) | D+36.3 | +5.2 |
| 2010 | 65.0%(4,188) | 33.9%(2,183) | D+31.1 | -12.5 |
| 2008 | 71.1%(7,098) | 27.5%(2,748) | D+43.6 | +7.3 |
| 2004 | 67.6%(5,424) | 31.3%(2,510) | D+36.3 | +2.8 |
| 2002 | 66.5%(3,833) | 32.9%(1,900) | D+33.5 | -4.4 |
| 1998 | 68.6%(3,297) | 30.7%(1,476) | D+37.9 | +13.6 |
| 1996 | 61.8%(3,953) | 37.5%(2,398) | D+24.3 | -12.8 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 64.5%(6,412) | 32.4%(3,223) | D+32.1 | +0.8 |
| 2020 | 65.2%(6,716) | 34.0%(3,497) | D+31.3 | -1.9 |
| 2016 | 66.1%(6,469) | 32.9%(3,218) | D+33.2 | +0.2 |
| 2012 | 66.0%(6,603) | 33.0%(3,300) | D+33.0 | -11.4 |
| 2008 | 71.4%(7,112) | 27.1%(2,693) | D+44.4 | -5.3 |
| 2004 | 74.5%(5,992) | 24.8%(1,994) | D+49.7 | +2.1 |
| 2000 | 73.4%(5,138) | 25.8%(1,804) | D+47.6 | +4.7 |
| 1996 | 71.1%(4,526) | 28.1%(1,789) | D+43.0 | +10.4 |
| 1992 | 64.9%(4,638) | 32.3%(2,308) | D+32.6 | -0.8 |
| 1988 | 66.7%(4,142) | 33.3%(2,069) | D+33.4 | -3.8 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(57.5%) | Bernie Sanders(14.3%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(70.1%) | Bernie Sanders(24.1%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | GOP | Donald Trump(53.4%) | Ted Cruz(30.2%) | ✓ |
| 2008 | Dem | Barack Obama(67.6%) | Hillary Clinton(29.7%) | ✓ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee