Mahoning County, Ohio, OH

Ohio · Presidential Elections 1892–2024

R+9.4

2024 Margin

R+7.5%

2020→2024 Swing

R since 2020

Voting Streak

229K

Population

Mahoning County, Ohio voted R+9.4 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 61,249 votes (54.09%). This represented a R+7.5% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2020.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+9.4

2020→2024 SwingR+7.5%

Voting StreakR since 2020

Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population228,614

Median Age

43.3(US: 38.4)

College (BA+)

26.4%(US: 34.6%)

Median Income

$54,279(US: $78k)

White (non-Hisp)

74.3%(US: 57.5%)

Hispanic

6.5%(US: 18.6%)

Black

15.2%(US: 12.3%)

Homeownership

70.3%(US: 64.2%)

Poverty Rate

18.3%(US: 12.4%)

Veterans

7.1%(US: 6.4%)

Non-English (CVAP)

5.4%(US: 17.1%)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020

Catholic

24.4%(+5.7 vs US)

Evangelical

11.1%(-5.4 vs US)

Black Protestant

7.0%(+4.8 vs US)

Mainline Protestant

6.0%(+0.8 vs US)

LDS/Mormon

0.2%(-1.8 vs US)

Age Distribution

Median:43.3 yrs(US: 38.5)

Under 18

20.3%

18-29

8.1%↓

30-44

17.6%

45-64

31.9%↑

65+

22.0%↑

National average

Employment by Industry

Source: Census ACS

ManufacturingAbove avg

12.6%

Retail Trade

12.0%

Education

10.3%

Professional ServicesBelow avg

7.5%

Construction

6.7%

HealthcareVery low

4.6%

Political relevance:

Healthcare: ACA debates

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

Year	Democrat	Republican	Margin	Swing
2024	44.7%(50,636)	54.1%(61,249)	R+9.4	R+7.5
2020	48.5%(57,641)	50.4%(59,903)	R+1.9	R+5.1
2016	48.8%(57,381)	45.6%(53,616)	D+3.2	R+24.8
2012	62.8%(77,059)	34.7%(42,641)	D+28.0	D+1.5
2008	62.0%(79,173)	35.5%(45,319)	D+26.5	D+0.6
2004	62.6%(83,194)	36.7%(48,761)	D+25.9	D+0.7
2000	60.6%(69,212)	35.5%(40,460)	D+25.2	R+9.8
1996	61.5%(72,716)	26.6%(31,397)	D+35.0	D+8.3
1992	51.5%(64,731)	24.8%(31,191)	D+26.7	D+0.2
1988	62.9%(75,524)	36.4%(43,722)	D+26.5	D+8.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Senate Elections

Senate Results

Year	Democrat	Republican	Margin	Swing
2024	49.9%(53,847)	50.1%(54,067)	R+0.2	D+3.3
2022	48.3%(41,421)	51.7%(44,397)	R+3.5	R+24.5
2018	60.5%(54,594)	39.5%(35,654)	D+21.0	D+25.1
2016	47.9%(51,211)	52.1%(55,620)	R+4.1	R+43.1
2012	69.5%(76,182)	30.5%(33,480)	D+38.9	D+20.9
2010	59.0%(47,708)	41.0%(33,152)	D+18.0	R+29.0
2006	73.5%(69,664)	26.5%(25,151)	D+47.0	D+51.0
2004	48.0%(61,403)	52.0%(66,554)	R+4.0	R+8.3
2000	52.1%(55,064)	47.9%(50,568)	D+4.3	R+17.8
1998	61.0%(52,621)	39.0%(33,620)	D+22.0	D+9.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

Year	Democrat	Republican	Margin	Swing
2022	34.6%(29,444)	65.4%(55,676)	R+30.8	R+43.3
2018	56.3%(49,740)	43.8%(38,689)	D+12.5	D+23.8
2014	44.4%(28,376)	55.6%(35,578)	R+11.3	R+47.1
2010	67.9%(56,228)	32.1%(26,566)	D+35.8	R+20.1
2006	78.0%(72,076)	22.0%(20,356)	D+56.0	D+52.4
2002	51.8%(43,110)	48.2%(40,149)	D+3.6	R+16.2
1998	59.9%(45,422)	40.1%(30,423)	D+19.8	D+55.1
1994	32.3%(26,854)	67.7%(56,228)	R+35.4	R+50.2
1990	57.4%(55,495)	42.6%(41,162)	D+14.8	R+35.2
1986	75.0%(64,620)	25.0%(21,515)	D+50.0	D+3.2

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Primary Election History

Primary Results

Year	Party	Winner	Runner-up	Nominee?
2020	Dem	Joe Biden(77.2%)	Bernie Sanders(12.5%)	✓
2016	Dem	Hillary Clinton(59.3%)	Bernie Sanders(39.8%)	✓
2016	GOP	Donald Trump(50.6%)	John Kasich(37.4%)	✓
2008	Dem	Hillary Clinton(63.4%)	Barack Obama(34.7%)	✗