Northumberland County, Pennsylvania: Deep Red Country

Pennsylvania · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+39.8
2024 Margin
R+1.3%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1968
Voting Streak
92K
Population

Northumberland County, Pennsylvania voted R+39.8 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 30,240 votes (69.3%). This represented a R+1.3% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+39.8
2020→2024 SwingR+1.3%
Voting StreakR since 1968
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population91,647
Median Age
44.5(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
19.2%(US: 34.6%)
Median Income
$55,952(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
89.5%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
4.8%(US: 18.6%)
Black
2.8%(US: 12.3%)
Homeownership
74.8%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
12.2%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
8.3%(US: 6.4%)
Non-English (CVAP)
2.9%(US: 17.1%)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Mainline Protestant
17.1%(+11.9 vs US)
Catholic
13.6%(-5.1 vs US)
Evangelical
12.7%(-3.8 vs US)
LDS/Mormon
0.5%(-1.5 vs US)

Age Distribution

Median:44.5 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
19.8%
18-29
6.9%
30-44
18.4%
45-64
33.1%
65+
21.7%
National average

Employment by Industry

Source: Census ACS
Retail TradeAbove avg
14.4%
ManufacturingAbove avg
12.8%
Education
7.6%
Construction
6.3%
Professional ServicesVery low
5.5%
HealthcareVery low
4.9%
Political relevance:
Professional Services: College-educated baseHealthcare: ACA debatesAgriculture: Farm bill, rural R
+ 1 more industries

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202429.5%(12,863)69.3%(30,240)R+39.8R+1.3
202030.0%(12,677)68.5%(28,952)R+38.5D+3.9
201626.5%(9,788)68.9%(25,427)R+42.4R+23.0
201239.2%(13,072)58.5%(19,518)R+19.3R+5.5
200842.2%(14,329)56.0%(19,018)R+13.8D+6.8
200439.3%(14,602)60.0%(22,262)R+20.6R+7.2
200041.1%(13,670)54.6%(18,142)R+13.4R+13.0
199641.4%(13,418)41.8%(13,551)R+0.4D+5.9
199235.8%(12,814)42.1%(15,057)R+6.3D+10.8
198841.0%(14,255)58.1%(20,207)R+17.1D+6.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202431.0%(13,432)66.3%(28,706)R+35.3R+4.3
202232.9%(10,812)63.8%(20,992)R+30.9R+5.3
201836.5%(10,524)62.1%(17,926)R+25.6D+4.5
201631.3%(11,117)61.4%(21,826)R+30.1R+11.3
201239.5%(12,904)58.3%(19,057)R+18.8D+5.2
201038.0%(9,817)62.0%(16,032)R+24.0R+23.4
200649.7%(13,140)50.3%(13,304)R+0.6D+30.9
200431.3%(11,041)62.8%(22,162)R+31.5R+6.4
200036.0%(11,208)61.1%(19,029)R+25.1D+2.0
199834.1%(7,534)61.2%(13,529)R+27.1R+21.3

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202236.6%(12,052)58.0%(19,094)R+21.4R+7.5
201842.1%(12,135)55.9%(16,122)R+13.8R+14.7
201450.4%(10,852)49.6%(10,666)D+0.9D+36.7
201032.1%(8,393)67.9%(17,781)R+35.9R+37.1
200650.6%(13,470)49.4%(13,140)D+1.2D+15.5
200241.5%(10,774)55.8%(14,479)R+14.3D+13.8
199830.9%(7,051)59.0%(13,468)R+28.1R+20.3
199438.5%(10,633)46.4%(12,785)R+7.8R+55.3
199073.8%(17,948)26.3%(6,388)D+47.5D+34.9
198655.9%(16,337)43.3%(12,660)D+12.6R+13.7

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Primary Election History

Primary Results

YearPartyWinnerRunner-upNominee?
2020DemJoe Biden(72.2%)Bernie Sanders(17.8%)
2016DemBernie Sanders(49.6%)Hillary Clinton(48.9%)
2016GOPDonald Trump(65.0%)Ted Cruz(22.5%)
2008DemHillary Clinton(71.3%)Barack Obama(28.1%)
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee

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Source: Official state election returns
akashicedge.com/counties/0500000US42097