Clay County, Tennessee: Northern Rural Secular
Tennessee · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+66.6
2024 Margin
R+9.6%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2008
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
8K
Population
Clay County, Tennessee voted R+66.6 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 3,117 votes (82.9%). This represented a R+9.6% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2008.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
8.1
Elasticity
Sticky
Trend
-3.0/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+66.6
2020→2024 SwingR+9.6%
Voting StreakR since 2008
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population7,581
Median Age
47.4(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
17.7%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$39,572(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
94.2%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
2.0%(US: 18.6%)
Homeownership
77.6%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
21.7%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
7.7%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16.3%(614) | 82.9%(3,117) | R+66.6 | -9.6 |
| 2020 | 21.0%(735) | 78.0%(2,733) | R+57.0 | -7.9 |
| 2016 | 24.2%(707) | 73.3%(2,141) | R+49.1 | -23.9 |
| 2012 | 36.8%(1,037) | 62.0%(1,747) | R+25.2 | -10.9 |
| 2008 | 41.7%(1,248) | 56.0%(1,676) | R+14.3 | -15.0 |
| 2004 | 49.9%(1,675) | 49.1%(1,650) | D+0.7 | -12.7 |
| 2000 | 56.1%(1,931) | 42.6%(1,468) | D+13.4 | -1.6 |
| 1996 | 51.9%(1,559) | 36.9%(1,108) | D+15.0 | -11.4 |
| 1992 | 59.6%(1,922) | 33.2%(1,072) | D+26.4 | +30.7 |
| 1988 | 47.5%(1,183) | 51.8%(1,291) | R+4.3 | -2.2 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16.7%(593) | 81.7%(2,900) | R+65.0 | -5.8 |
| 2020 | 19.1%(616) | 78.3%(2,525) | R+59.2 | -29.0 |
| 2018 | 34.0%(871) | 64.2%(1,643) | R+30.2 | -0.3 |
| 2014 | 32.0%(468) | 61.9%(905) | R+29.9 | +8.7 |
| 2012 | 28.6%(714) | 67.2%(1,676) | R+38.6 | -8.7 |
| 2008 | 33.1%(852) | 63.0%(1,623) | R+29.9 | -46.4 |
| 2006 | 57.3%(1,425) | 40.8%(1,015) | D+16.5 | +4.7 |
| 2002 | 54.9%(1,277) | 43.2%(1,004) | D+11.7 | +27.9 |
| 2000 | 41.3%(1,088) | 57.4%(1,514) | R+16.2 | -4.4 |
| 1996 | 43.1%(1,129) | 54.8%(1,438) | R+11.8 | -13.9 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 30.3%(778) | 69.0%(1,773) | R+38.7 | +1.8 |
| 2014 | 26.2%(378) | 66.6%(963) | R+40.5 | -20.4 |
| 2010 | 39.0%(778) | 59.1%(1,179) | R+20.1 | -61.7 |
| 2006 | 69.2%(1,717) | 27.6%(685) | D+41.6 | +20.6 |
| 2002 | 59.7%(1,436) | 38.7%(932) | D+20.9 | +48.0 |
| 1998 | 36.0%(599) | 63.0%(1,049) | R+27.0 | -28.4 |
| 1994 | 50.5%(1,168) | 49.1%(1,136) | D+1.4 | -35.1 |
| 1990 | 67.0%(636) | 30.6%(290) | D+36.5 | +20.2 |
| 1986 | 58.1%(1,228) | 41.9%(885) | D+16.2 | +12.3 |
| 1982 | 52.0%(1,332) | 48.0%(1,230) | D+4.0 | +9.4 |