Sumner County, Tennessee: Deep Red Country

Tennessee · Presidential Elections 1892–2024

R+41.7

2024 Margin

R+3.0%

2020→2024 Swing

R since 1996

Voting Streak

196K

Population

Sumner County, Tennessee voted R+41.7 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 68,767 votes (70.05%). This represented a R+3.0% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1996.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+41.7

2020→2024 SwingR+3.0%

Voting StreakR since 1996

Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population196,281

Median Age

39.8(US: 38.4)

College (BA+)

32.6%(US: 34.6%)

Median Income

$81,883(US: $78k)

White (non-Hisp)

79.5%(US: 57.5%)

Hispanic

6.9%(US: 18.6%)

Black

8.0%(US: 12.3%)

Asian

1.6%(US: 5.7%)

Homeownership

72.2%(US: 64.2%)

Poverty Rate

8.9%(US: 12.4%)

Veterans

7.4%(US: 6.4%)

Non-English (CVAP)

3.5%(US: 17.1%)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020

Evangelical

42.4%(+25.9 vs US)

Mainline Protestant

4.2%(-1.0 vs US)

Catholic

4.2%(-14.5 vs US)

Black Protestant

1.1%(-1.1 vs US)

LDS/Mormon

1.0%(-1.0 vs US)

Age Distribution

Median:39.8 yrs(US: 38.5)

Under 18

23.3%

18-29

7.6%↓

30-44

19.5%

45-64

33.2%↑

65+

16.4%

National average

Employment by Industry

Source: Census ACS

Retail Trade

12.3%

Professional Services

11.3%

Manufacturing

10.5%

Education

8.4%

Construction

8.1%

HealthcareVery low

5.1%

Political relevance:

Healthcare: ACA debatesAgriculture: Farm bill, rural R

+ 1 more industries

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

Year	Democrat	Republican	Margin	Swing
2024	28.4%(27,874)	70.0%(68,767)	R+41.7	R+3.0
2020	29.9%(27,680)	68.5%(63,454)	R+38.6	D+6.1
2016	25.4%(18,161)	70.1%(50,129)	R+44.7	R+2.8
2012	28.4%(18,579)	70.3%(46,003)	R+41.9	R+7.0
2008	32.0%(21,487)	66.9%(44,949)	R+34.9	R+4.7
2004	34.6%(21,458)	64.8%(40,181)	R+30.2	R+19.4
2000	43.8%(22,118)	54.7%(27,601)	R+10.9	R+7.0
1996	44.5%(19,205)	48.4%(20,863)	R+3.8	R+8.6
1992	46.0%(19,387)	41.3%(17,401)	D+4.7	D+29.6
1988	37.3%(11,702)	62.2%(19,523)	R+24.9	R+2.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Senate Elections

Senate Results

Year	Democrat	Republican	Margin	Swing
2024	29.0%(27,119)	71.0%(66,413)	R+42.0	D+3.0
2020	27.5%(23,878)	72.5%(63,031)	R+45.0	R+18.3
2018	36.6%(23,762)	63.4%(41,099)	R+26.7	D+20.0
2014	26.6%(9,292)	73.4%(25,615)	R+46.8	D+10.4
2012	21.4%(12,616)	78.6%(46,321)	R+57.2	R+7.6
2008	25.2%(15,134)	74.8%(44,945)	R+49.6	R+32.2
2006	41.3%(18,976)	58.7%(26,996)	R+17.4	R+2.9
2002	42.8%(17,650)	57.3%(23,638)	R+14.5	D+26.0
2000	29.8%(13,943)	70.3%(32,919)	R+40.5	R+9.0
1996	34.3%(13,405)	65.7%(25,714)	R+31.5	R+7.8

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

Year	Democrat	Republican	Margin	Swing
2018	32.1%(20,914)	67.9%(44,149)	R+35.7	D+28.5
2014	17.9%(6,121)	82.1%(28,090)	R+64.2	R+15.6
2010	25.7%(11,251)	74.3%(32,543)	R+48.6	R+78.8
2006	65.1%(29,713)	34.9%(15,938)	D+30.2	D+33.0
2002	48.6%(19,860)	51.4%(21,032)	R+2.9	D+44.5
1998	26.3%(5,901)	73.7%(16,527)	R+47.4	R+51.6
1994	52.1%(16,981)	47.9%(15,593)	D+4.3	R+30.3
1990	67.3%(9,222)	32.8%(4,490)	D+34.5	D+28.1
1986	53.2%(12,546)	46.8%(11,036)	D+6.4	D+22.8
1982	41.8%(8,663)	58.2%(12,064)	R+16.4	R+1.7

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Primary Election History

Primary Results

Year	Party	Winner	Runner-up	Nominee?
2020	Dem	Joe Biden(43.0%)	Bernie Sanders(24.8%)	✓
2016	Dem	Hillary Clinton(64.3%)	Bernie Sanders(34.4%)	✓
2016	GOP	Donald Trump(37.0%)	Ted Cruz(28.9%)	✓
2008	Dem	Hillary Clinton(65.7%)	Barack Obama(30.5%)	✗