James City County, Virginia: Professional Migration
Virginia · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
D+6.2
2024 Margin
D+1.3%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 2020
Voting Streak
🏘️ Prof. Migration
Classification
78K
Population
James City County, Virginia voted D+6.2 for Kamala Harris in 2024, with Harris receiving 26,742 votes (52.16%). This represented a D+1.3% swing toward Democrats compared to 2020. The county has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2020.
Electoral Behavior
🏘️
Professional MigrationView all
Growing metro exurbs and suburbs receiving educated professionals from cities. These areas are shifting blue as remote work and urban flight bring liberal voters. Examples: Atlanta suburbs, DFW exurbs, Denver metro.
Volatility
2.9
Elasticity
Responsive
Trend
+0.6/yr
Quick Stats
2024 ResultD+6.2
2020→2024 SwingD+1.3%
Voting StreakD since 2020
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population78,254
Median Age
47.1(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
74.5%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$100,711(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
72.5%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
6.9%(US: 18.6%)
Black
12.8%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
2.5%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
78.8%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
6.5%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
14.7%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 52.2%(26,742) | 46.0%(23,575) | D+6.2 | +1.3 |
| 2020 | 51.5%(25,553) | 46.7%(23,153) | D+4.8 | +9.9 |
| 2016 | 44.3%(19,105) | 49.4%(21,306) | R+5.1 | +6.9 |
| 2012 | 43.4%(17,879) | 55.4%(22,843) | R+12.0 | -2.8 |
| 2008 | 45.0%(17,352) | 54.2%(20,912) | R+9.2 | +13.3 |
| 2004 | 38.4%(11,934) | 61.0%(18,949) | R+22.6 | +0.1 |
| 2000 | 37.1%(9,090) | 59.7%(14,628) | R+22.6 | -7.1 |
| 1996 | 39.0%(7,247) | 54.5%(10,120) | R+15.5 | -3.1 |
| 1992 | 35.9%(6,536) | 48.2%(8,781) | R+12.3 | +18.9 |
| 1988 | 33.7%(4,642) | 65.0%(8,945) | R+31.2 | +2.7 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 52.9%(26,991) | 47.1%(24,033) | D+5.8 | +1.6 |
| 2020 | 52.1%(25,685) | 47.8%(23,600) | D+4.2 | -1.4 |
| 2018 | 51.9%(20,146) | 46.3%(17,955) | D+5.6 | +16.3 |
| 2014 | 43.7%(11,577) | 54.4%(14,403) | R+10.7 | -3.1 |
| 2012 | 46.2%(18,878) | 53.7%(21,957) | R+7.5 | -28.0 |
| 2008 | 59.6%(22,682) | 39.1%(14,908) | D+20.4 | +28.0 |
| 2006 | 45.7%(11,860) | 53.3%(13,832) | R+7.6 | +78.5 |
| 2002 | 0.0%(0) | 86.1%(14,266) | R+86.1 | -76.8 |
| 2000 | 45.3%(11,088) | 54.6%(13,379) | R+9.4 | +14.7 |
| 1996 | 37.8%(7,179) | 61.9%(11,748) | R+24.1 | -30.8 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 55.3%(23,603) | 44.6%(19,029) | D+10.7 | +11.9 |
| 2017 | 48.9%(15,561) | 50.1%(15,937) | R+1.2 | +7.8 |
| 2013 | 42.1%(11,344) | 51.1%(13,756) | R+9.0 | +22.3 |
| 2009 | 34.3%(7,945) | 65.6%(15,193) | R+31.3 | -31.8 |
| 2005 | 48.5%(10,205) | 48.0%(10,104) | D+0.5 | +1.3 |
| 2001 | 49.3%(8,505) | 50.2%(8,654) | R+0.9 | +17.1 |
| 1997 | 40.4%(6,218) | 58.4%(8,984) | R+18.0 | +0.1 |
| 1993 | 40.6%(5,560) | 58.7%(8,032) | R+18.1 | -17.9 |
| 1989 | 49.8%(5,827) | 50.0%(5,850) | R+0.2 | -6.5 |
| 1985 | 53.1%(3,621) | 46.9%(3,193) | D+6.3 | +4.6 |