Phillips County, Montana: Northern Rural Secular
Montana · Presidential Elections 1916–2024
R+62.5
2024 Margin
D+1.3%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1968
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
4K
Population
Phillips County, Montana voted R+62.5 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 1,753 votes (80.08%). This represented a D+1.3% swing toward Democrats compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
5.9
Elasticity
Moderate
Trend
-1.6/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+62.5
2020→2024 SwingD+1.3%
Voting StreakR since 1968
Elections on Record28
Demographics
Population4,217
Median Age
45.9(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
25.4%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$61,250(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
81.9%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
1.4%(US: 18.6%)
Homeownership
74.8%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
9.4%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
9.7%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17.6%(385) | 80.1%(1,753) | R+62.5 | +1.3 |
| 2020 | 17.5%(416) | 81.3%(1,936) | R+63.8 | +0.9 |
| 2016 | 14.7%(318) | 79.4%(1,723) | R+64.7 | -10.1 |
| 2012 | 21.1%(471) | 75.8%(1,688) | R+54.6 | -17.6 |
| 2008 | 30.1%(638) | 67.0%(1,423) | R+37.0 | +19.3 |
| 2004 | 21.0%(456) | 77.3%(1,677) | R+56.3 | +2.3 |
| 2000 | 19.0%(423) | 77.5%(1,727) | R+58.5 | -31.2 |
| 1996 | 28.1%(705) | 55.4%(1,392) | R+27.4 | -12.4 |
| 1992 | 24.1%(634) | 39.1%(1,026) | R+14.9 | +8.0 |
| 1988 | 37.3%(905) | 60.3%(1,462) | R+23.0 | +18.8 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22.3%(490) | 76.3%(1,678) | R+54.0 | +5.4 |
| 2020 | 20.3%(483) | 79.7%(1,895) | R+59.4 | -18.6 |
| 2018 | 27.7%(577) | 68.5%(1,426) | R+40.8 | +18.8 |
| 2014 | 19.3%(337) | 78.8%(1,379) | R+59.5 | -21.1 |
| 2012 | 27.2%(607) | 65.6%(1,465) | R+38.4 | -79.0 |
| 2008 | 70.3%(1,468) | 29.7%(621) | D+40.5 | +80.2 |
| 2006 | 29.2%(579) | 68.8%(1,366) | R+39.7 | -60.0 |
| 2002 | 58.0%(1,024) | 37.7%(665) | D+20.4 | +62.5 |
| 2000 | 28.3%(630) | 70.5%(1,567) | R+42.1 | -16.5 |
| 1996 | 34.8%(869) | 60.5%(1,508) | R+25.6 | +40.0 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16.8%(368) | 81.5%(1,786) | R+64.7 | -1.6 |
| 2020 | 17.4%(412) | 80.4%(1,908) | R+63.0 | -9.3 |
| 2016 | 22.1%(493) | 75.9%(1,693) | R+53.8 | -16.6 |
| 2012 | 29.5%(652) | 66.7%(1,475) | R+37.2 | -56.1 |
| 2008 | 57.9%(1,223) | 39.0%(823) | D+18.9 | +38.3 |
| 2004 | 39.0%(830) | 58.3%(1,243) | R+19.4 | +26.1 |
| 2000 | 26.6%(589) | 72.1%(1,598) | R+45.5 | +30.5 |
| 1996 | 12.0%(301) | 88.0%(2,209) | R+76.0 | -43.9 |
| 1992 | 34.0%(884) | 66.0%(1,720) | R+32.1 | -17.6 |
| 1988 | 41.9%(1,034) | 56.4%(1,392) | R+14.5 | -55.9 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(93.3%) | Other(6.7%) | ✓ |
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(76.5%) | Bernie Sanders(9.1%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(51.4%) | Hillary Clinton(45.8%) | ✗ |
| 2016 | GOP | Donald Trump(84.4%) | Ted Cruz(6.5%) | ✓ |
| 2008 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(48.4%) | Barack Obama(47.5%) | ✗ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee