Safe Republican — shifted 7.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 5.3M residents — 10 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 60.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 21.3% |
▶Black / African American(16) | 10.8% |
▶Asian(6) | 3.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.4% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.6% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 19.3% | 42.9% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 16.8% | 37.4% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.5% | 7.7% |
| Other | 3.2% | 7.2% |
| Black Protestant | 1.7% | 3.7% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.6% | 1.2% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.5% | 1.1% |
| Non-religious | 54.9% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+15.8 |
| 2020 | Trump+8.1 |
| 2016 | Trump+8.5 |
| 2012 | Romney+1.9 |
| 2008 | Obama+0.8 |
| 2004 | Bush+8.2 |
| 2000 | Bush+2.5 |
| 1996 | Clinton+4.1 |
| 1992 | Bush+3.4 |
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hillsborough | 1.5M | R+3.1 | 321,455 | 342,017 | 671,993 |
| Pinellas | 963K | R+5.2 | 242,452 | 269,472 | 517,074 |
| Polk | 791K | R+20.7 | 136,879 | 209,044 | 348,931 |
| Pasco | 611K | R+25.2 | 117,450 | 197,779 | 318,471 |
| Sarasota | 460K | R+18.2 | 112,668 | 163,219 | 277,866 |
| Manatee | 430K | R+23.5 | 86,674 | 140,486 | 228,860 |
| Hernando | 207K | R+37.0 | 34,431 | 75,446 | 110,691 |
| Citrus | 162K | R+45.9 | 26,276 | 71,356 | 98,237 |
| Highlands | 106K | R+40.8 | 15,227 | 36,382 | 51,905 |
| Hardee | 26K | R+56.3 | 1,751 | 6,336 | 8,143 |
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 60.7% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 21.3% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(16) | 10.8% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.6% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 3.2% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 0.9% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.3% | 42.9% | — | — | |
| 16.8% | 37.4% | — | — | |
| 3.5% | 7.7% | — | — | |
| 3.2% | 7.2% | — | — | |
| 1.7% | 3.7% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.6% | 1.2% | — | — |
| 0.5% | 1.1% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 54.9% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Tampa-St. Pete (Sarasota) media market? 5,278,573 residents across 10 counties.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.