Breathitt County, Kentucky: Northern Rural Secular
Kentucky · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+59.3
2024 Margin
R+6.9%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2008
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
14K
Population
Breathitt County, Kentucky voted R+59.3 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 4,036 votes (78.86%). This represented a R+6.9% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2008.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
17.6
Elasticity
Sticky
Trend
-3.6/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+59.3
2020→2024 SwingR+6.9%
Voting StreakR since 2008
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population13,718
Median Age
42.7(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
24.7%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$38,209(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
96.2%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
1.1%(US: 18.6%)
Homeownership
74.3%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
28.2%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
4.2%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19.6%(1,002) | 78.9%(4,036) | R+59.3 | -6.9 |
| 2020 | 23.0%(1,301) | 75.3%(4,265) | R+52.4 | -9.6 |
| 2016 | 26.8%(1,537) | 69.5%(3,991) | R+42.8 | -7.7 |
| 2012 | 31.2%(1,562) | 66.3%(3,318) | R+35.1 | -25.8 |
| 2008 | 43.8%(2,205) | 53.1%(2,671) | R+9.3 | -22.5 |
| 2004 | 56.0%(3,327) | 42.8%(2,542) | D+13.2 | -2.9 |
| 2000 | 57.2%(2,902) | 41.1%(2,084) | D+16.1 | -28.6 |
| 1996 | 67.8%(3,106) | 23.1%(1,058) | D+44.7 | +3.6 |
| 1992 | 65.5%(3,496) | 24.4%(1,303) | D+41.1 | +18.9 |
| 1988 | 60.7%(3,387) | 38.5%(2,149) | D+22.2 | +13.0 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 35.7%(1,267) | 64.3%(2,285) | R+28.7 | +8.5 |
| 2020 | 29.4%(1,652) | 66.6%(3,738) | R+37.2 | -33.9 |
| 2016 | 48.4%(2,673) | 51.6%(2,854) | R+3.3 | +4.6 |
| 2014 | 44.3%(2,062) | 52.2%(2,430) | R+7.9 | -17.7 |
| 2010 | 54.9%(2,464) | 45.1%(2,023) | D+9.8 | -13.0 |
| 2008 | 61.4%(3,111) | 38.6%(1,955) | D+22.8 | -21.8 |
| 2004 | 72.3%(4,201) | 27.7%(1,607) | D+44.7 | +27.1 |
| 2002 | 58.8%(2,590) | 41.2%(1,817) | D+17.5 | -13.6 |
| 1998 | 64.9%(2,584) | 33.7%(1,342) | D+31.2 | -4.0 |
| 1996 | 66.9%(2,986) | 31.7%(1,416) | D+35.2 | -25.9 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 61.2%(1,763) | 38.8%(1,119) | D+22.4 | +20.5 |
| 2019 | 50.2%(1,889) | 48.4%(1,820) | D+1.8 | +5.8 |
| 2015 | 45.8%(1,208) | 49.8%(1,313) | R+4.0 | -27.4 |
| 2011 | 55.2%(1,236) | 31.8%(711) | D+23.5 | -24.9 |
| 2007 | 74.2%(3,057) | 25.8%(1,065) | D+48.3 | +13.1 |
| 2003 | 67.6%(2,583) | 32.4%(1,236) | D+35.3 | +7.0 |
| 1999 | 52.7%(836) | 24.5%(388) | D+28.3 | -5.8 |
| 1995 | 67.0%(2,393) | 33.0%(1,177) | D+34.0 | -31.5 |
| 1991 | 82.8%(2,594) | 17.2%(540) | D+65.5 | -9.2 |
| 1987 | 87.4%(2,985) | 12.6%(431) | D+74.8 | +20.0 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(87.8%) | Other(7.6%) | ✓ |
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(53.9%) | Other(27.5%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(51.8%) | Hillary Clinton(33.9%) | ✗ |
| 2016 | GOP | Ted Cruz(50.0%) | Donald Trump(32.1%) | ✗ |
| 2008 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(90.0%) | Barack Obama(6.7%) | ✗ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee