Monroe County, Michigan: Declining Industrial Metro
Michigan · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+27.1
2024 Margin
R+4.4%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2016
Voting Streak
🏭 Rust Belt
Classification
155K
Population
Monroe County, Michigan voted R+27.1 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 57,405 votes (62.75%). This represented a R+4.4% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2016.
Electoral Behavior
🏭
Declining Industrial MetroView all
Rust Belt urban centers that voted for Obama but have shifted dramatically toward Republicans. Former manufacturing hubs experiencing economic decline and Democratic erosion.
Volatility
7.3
Elasticity
Sticky
Trend
-1.2/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+27.1
2020→2024 SwingR+4.4%
Voting StreakR since 2016
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population154,809
Median Age
42.6(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
31.8%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$72,573(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
89.2%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
4.2%(US: 18.6%)
Black
2.7%(US: 12.3%)
Homeownership
81.2%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
11.1%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
7.3%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 35.7%(32,622) | 62.8%(57,405) | R+27.1 | -4.4 |
| 2020 | 37.8%(32,975) | 60.5%(52,710) | R+22.6 | -0.7 |
| 2016 | 36.0%(26,863) | 58.0%(43,261) | R+22.0 | -22.9 |
| 2012 | 49.7%(36,310) | 48.7%(35,593) | D+1.0 | -3.4 |
| 2008 | 51.3%(39,180) | 46.9%(35,858) | D+4.3 | +6.2 |
| 2004 | 48.7%(36,089) | 50.5%(37,470) | R+1.9 | -6.1 |
| 2000 | 51.1%(31,555) | 46.8%(28,940) | D+4.2 | -7.9 |
| 1996 | 49.6%(26,072) | 37.5%(19,678) | D+12.2 | +4.2 |
| 1992 | 42.3%(24,957) | 34.3%(20,250) | D+8.0 | +17.0 |
| 1988 | 45.2%(21,847) | 54.2%(26,189) | R+9.0 | +10.9 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 36.4%(32,420) | 60.8%(54,082) | R+24.4 | -3.4 |
| 2020 | 38.4%(32,721) | 59.3%(50,580) | R+20.9 | -9.6 |
| 2018 | 43.4%(26,651) | 54.7%(33,607) | R+11.3 | -15.9 |
| 2014 | 49.9%(22,957) | 45.3%(20,838) | D+4.6 | -11.9 |
| 2012 | 56.6%(39,700) | 40.0%(28,089) | D+16.5 | -9.4 |
| 2008 | 61.0%(44,485) | 35.1%(25,564) | D+26.0 | +9.4 |
| 2006 | 57.3%(31,431) | 40.8%(22,347) | D+16.6 | -9.8 |
| 2002 | 62.5%(25,600) | 36.1%(14,791) | D+26.4 | +26.1 |
| 2000 | 48.7%(29,227) | 48.4%(29,049) | D+0.3 | -14.0 |
| 1996 | 56.1%(28,719) | 41.8%(21,420) | D+14.3 | +29.0 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 43.5%(60,904) | 54.7%(76,624) | R+11.2 | -3.2 |
| 2018 | 44.5%(27,413) | 52.5%(32,336) | R+8.0 | -2.0 |
| 2014 | 45.6%(21,447) | 51.6%(24,271) | R+6.0 | +16.9 |
| 2010 | 37.4%(17,917) | 60.3%(28,911) | R+22.9 | -32.2 |
| 2006 | 53.9%(29,975) | 44.6%(24,828) | D+9.3 | +12.7 |
| 2002 | 47.8%(19,845) | 51.2%(21,266) | R+3.4 | +26.5 |
| 1998 | 35.0%(14,401) | 65.0%(26,690) | R+29.9 | -3.6 |
| 1994 | 36.8%(14,126) | 63.1%(24,218) | R+26.3 | -19.9 |
| 1990 | 46.5%(14,811) | 52.9%(16,865) | R+6.4 | -50.7 |
| 1986 | 72.0%(20,126) | 27.7%(7,750) | D+44.3 | +39.3 |