Prairie County, Montana: Northern Rural Secular
Montana · Presidential Elections 1916–2024
R+61.6
2024 Margin
D+2.5%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1952
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
1K
Population
Prairie County, Montana voted R+61.6 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 546 votes (79.36%). This represented a D+2.5% swing toward Democrats compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1952.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
7.0
Elasticity
Sticky
Trend
-1.6/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+61.6
2020→2024 SwingD+2.5%
Voting StreakR since 1952
Elections on Record28
Demographics
Population1,088
Median Age
47.2(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
28.2%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$44,107(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
89.4%(US: 57.5%)
Asian
4.0%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
76.3%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
23.9%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
9.0%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17.7%(122) | 79.4%(546) | R+61.6 | +2.5 |
| 2020 | 16.9%(126) | 81.0%(603) | R+64.1 | +2.1 |
| 2016 | 14.5%(100) | 80.7%(556) | R+66.2 | -16.0 |
| 2012 | 23.8%(167) | 74.0%(520) | R+50.2 | -10.5 |
| 2008 | 28.7%(211) | 68.4%(503) | R+39.7 | +9.9 |
| 2004 | 24.6%(181) | 74.2%(546) | R+49.6 | +0.9 |
| 2000 | 22.0%(164) | 72.5%(541) | R+50.5 | -30.3 |
| 1996 | 33.2%(259) | 53.5%(417) | R+20.3 | -2.5 |
| 1992 | 30.4%(260) | 48.1%(412) | R+17.8 | +4.2 |
| 1988 | 38.1%(343) | 60.1%(541) | R+22.0 | +18.8 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26.0%(180) | 70.6%(489) | R+44.6 | +12.3 |
| 2020 | 21.6%(161) | 78.5%(586) | R+56.9 | -15.1 |
| 2018 | 27.1%(177) | 68.9%(450) | R+41.8 | +11.8 |
| 2014 | 22.2%(134) | 75.8%(458) | R+53.6 | -27.7 |
| 2012 | 33.3%(236) | 59.3%(420) | R+26.0 | -49.3 |
| 2008 | 61.7%(439) | 38.3%(273) | D+23.3 | +58.7 |
| 2006 | 31.1%(213) | 66.5%(456) | R+35.4 | -54.2 |
| 2002 | 58.2%(390) | 39.4%(264) | D+18.8 | +55.7 |
| 2000 | 30.7%(227) | 67.6%(500) | R+36.9 | -17.4 |
| 1996 | 37.8%(304) | 57.3%(461) | R+19.5 | +35.7 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18.2%(125) | 78.5%(540) | R+60.3 | -7.7 |
| 2020 | 21.9%(160) | 74.5%(544) | R+52.6 | -5.8 |
| 2016 | 24.7%(173) | 71.5%(501) | R+46.8 | -10.9 |
| 2012 | 30.5%(216) | 66.4%(470) | R+35.9 | -38.9 |
| 2008 | 50.3%(369) | 47.3%(347) | D+3.0 | +29.8 |
| 2004 | 35.4%(260) | 62.2%(457) | R+26.8 | +9.2 |
| 2000 | 31.2%(231) | 67.2%(498) | R+36.0 | +34.7 |
| 1996 | 14.6%(114) | 85.4%(666) | R+70.8 | -43.0 |
| 1992 | 36.1%(305) | 63.9%(539) | R+27.7 | -16.7 |
| 1988 | 43.7%(396) | 54.8%(496) | R+11.0 | -50.8 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(91.4%) | Other(8.6%) | ✓ |
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(74.7%) | Bernie Sanders(13.3%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(49.0%) | Bernie Sanders(44.9%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | GOP | Donald Trump(78.5%) | Ted Cruz(10.5%) | ✓ |
| 2008 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(53.7%) | Barack Obama(39.6%) | ✗ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee