Stillwater County, Montana: Northern Rural Secular
Montana · Presidential Elections 1916–2024
R+61.7
2024 Margin
R+3.9%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1940
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
9K
Population
Stillwater County, Montana voted R+61.7 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 4,699 votes (79.56%). This represented a R+3.9% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1940.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
5.2
Elasticity
Moderate
Trend
-1.8/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+61.7
2020→2024 SwingR+3.9%
Voting StreakR since 1940
Elections on Record28
Demographics
Population8,963
Median Age
48.0(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
38.4%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$78,380(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
92.3%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
3.4%(US: 18.6%)
Homeownership
80.8%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
8.3%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
11.6%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17.9%(1,056) | 79.6%(4,699) | R+61.7 | -3.9 |
| 2020 | 20.2%(1,156) | 78.0%(4,462) | R+57.8 | -1.3 |
| 2016 | 18.6%(908) | 75.1%(3,661) | R+56.5 | -12.1 |
| 2012 | 26.5%(1,248) | 71.0%(3,337) | R+44.4 | -12.7 |
| 2008 | 32.4%(1,512) | 64.1%(2,991) | R+31.7 | +17.3 |
| 2004 | 24.3%(1,025) | 73.3%(3,090) | R+49.0 | -2.0 |
| 2000 | 23.6%(925) | 70.6%(2,765) | R+47.0 | -31.5 |
| 1996 | 33.7%(1,282) | 49.2%(1,871) | R+15.5 | -9.7 |
| 1992 | 32.4%(1,178) | 38.2%(1,390) | R+5.8 | +9.4 |
| 1988 | 41.6%(1,407) | 56.8%(1,920) | R+15.2 | +16.1 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22.8%(1,352) | 75.4%(4,473) | R+52.6 | -0.5 |
| 2020 | 23.9%(1,374) | 76.1%(4,370) | R+52.2 | -17.1 |
| 2018 | 30.9%(1,501) | 65.9%(3,206) | R+35.0 | +10.3 |
| 2014 | 26.4%(991) | 71.8%(2,692) | R+45.4 | -25.2 |
| 2012 | 36.7%(1,732) | 56.8%(2,684) | R+20.1 | -54.6 |
| 2008 | 67.2%(3,022) | 32.8%(1,474) | D+34.4 | +52.3 |
| 2006 | 39.3%(1,556) | 57.1%(2,262) | R+17.8 | -38.7 |
| 2002 | 57.8%(1,888) | 37.0%(1,207) | D+20.9 | +42.6 |
| 2000 | 37.9%(1,487) | 59.6%(2,342) | R+21.8 | -13.2 |
| 1996 | 42.9%(1,633) | 51.5%(1,961) | R+8.6 | +36.6 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18.2%(1,076) | 79.6%(4,709) | R+61.4 | -8.5 |
| 2020 | 22.1%(1,263) | 75.0%(4,292) | R+52.9 | -26.8 |
| 2016 | 35.4%(1,748) | 61.4%(3,036) | R+26.1 | +0.8 |
| 2012 | 34.8%(1,634) | 61.7%(2,894) | R+26.9 | -43.3 |
| 2008 | 57.2%(2,654) | 40.8%(1,891) | D+16.4 | +27.8 |
| 2004 | 42.7%(1,774) | 54.1%(2,246) | R+11.4 | +15.0 |
| 2000 | 35.8%(1,392) | 62.1%(2,417) | R+26.3 | +41.6 |
| 1996 | 16.1%(620) | 84.0%(3,243) | R+67.9 | -51.4 |
| 1992 | 41.7%(1,513) | 58.3%(2,113) | R+16.6 | -7.9 |
| 1988 | 44.9%(1,526) | 53.6%(1,821) | R+8.7 | -55.8 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(94.1%) | Other(5.9%) | ✓ |
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(83.5%) | Bernie Sanders(8.2%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(49.0%) | Hillary Clinton(46.4%) | ✗ |
| 2016 | GOP | Donald Trump(79.0%) | Ted Cruz(10.2%) | ✓ |
| 2008 | Dem | Barack Obama(51.9%) | Hillary Clinton(44.4%) | ✓ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee