Nelson County, North Dakota: Northern Rural Secular
North Dakota · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+31.9
2024 Margin
R+0.6%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2012
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
3K
Population
Nelson County, North Dakota voted R+31.9 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 1,141 votes (64.79%). This represented a R+0.6% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2012.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
7.7
Elasticity
Inelastic
Trend
-1.2/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+31.9
2020→2024 SwingR+0.6%
Voting StreakR since 2012
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population3,015
Median Age
50.0(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
35.3%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$62,219(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
92.6%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
2.9%(US: 18.6%)
Asian
1.4%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
76.9%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
10.0%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
9.0%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 32.9%(580) | 64.8%(1,141) | R+31.9 | -0.6 |
| 2020 | 33.0%(586) | 64.2%(1,141) | R+31.2 | -2.8 |
| 2016 | 31.2%(536) | 59.7%(1,025) | R+28.5 | -22.6 |
| 2012 | 45.7%(767) | 51.5%(865) | R+5.8 | -11.9 |
| 2008 | 51.8%(907) | 45.7%(800) | D+6.1 | +23.2 |
| 2004 | 40.5%(778) | 57.6%(1,107) | R+17.1 | +1.6 |
| 2000 | 37.3%(687) | 56.0%(1,031) | R+18.7 | -23.3 |
| 1996 | 46.0%(827) | 41.4%(745) | D+4.6 | +5.6 |
| 1992 | 38.1%(841) | 39.2%(864) | R+1.0 | -4.3 |
| 1988 | 51.3%(1,151) | 48.1%(1,078) | D+3.3 | +19.9 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37.6%(657) | 62.4%(1,091) | R+24.8 | +14.8 |
| 2022 | 23.9%(362) | 63.4%(963) | R+39.6 | -45.4 |
| 2018 | 52.6%(866) | 46.8%(770) | D+5.8 | +64.1 |
| 2016 | 18.5%(323) | 76.7%(1,343) | R+58.3 | -77.6 |
| 2012 | 59.5%(993) | 40.1%(670) | D+19.4 | +68.9 |
| 2010 | 24.2%(381) | 73.8%(1,160) | R+49.5 | -105.8 |
| 2006 | 77.5%(1,153) | 21.3%(316) | D+56.3 | +6.8 |
| 2004 | 74.7%(1,443) | 25.3%(488) | D+49.5 | +12.5 |
| 2000 | 68.5%(1,268) | 31.5%(584) | D+36.9 | -10.4 |
| 1998 | 73.1%(1,248) | 25.8%(440) | D+47.3 | +11.5 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 29.5%(513) | 66.6%(1,159) | R+37.1 | +1.6 |
| 2020 | 28.4%(504) | 67.1%(1,192) | R+38.7 | +0.6 |
| 2016 | 28.7%(500) | 68.0%(1,185) | R+39.3 | -29.0 |
| 2012 | 43.7%(733) | 54.1%(906) | R+10.3 | +38.4 |
| 2008 | 25.0%(444) | 73.7%(1,308) | R+48.7 | -10.7 |
| 2004 | 30.5%(582) | 68.5%(1,308) | R+38.0 | -46.0 |
| 2000 | 54.0%(1,008) | 46.0%(860) | D+7.9 | +19.8 |
| 1996 | 44.1%(812) | 55.9%(1,031) | R+11.9 | -4.1 |
| 1992 | 45.5%(1,001) | 53.2%(1,172) | R+7.8 | -38.8 |
| 1988 | 65.5%(1,525) | 34.5%(802) | D+31.1 | +6.6 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(40.4%) | Joe Biden(26.3%) | ✗ |
| 2016 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(75.0%) | Hillary Clinton(25.0%) | ✗ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee