Traill County, North Dakota: Northern Rural Secular
North Dakota · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+31.4
2024 Margin
R+6.5%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2012
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
8K
Population
Traill County, North Dakota voted R+31.4 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 2,650 votes (64.4%). This represented a R+6.5% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2012.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
6.2
Elasticity
Responsive
Trend
-0.9/yr
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+31.4
2020→2024 SwingR+6.5%
Voting StreakR since 2012
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population7,997
Median Age
40.6(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
40.1%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$81,157(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
90.2%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
3.8%(US: 18.6%)
Homeownership
74.6%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
7.0%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
7.5%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33.0%(1,359) | 64.4%(2,650) | R+31.4 | -6.5 |
| 2020 | 36.1%(1,493) | 61.0%(2,522) | R+24.9 | +1.2 |
| 2016 | 31.6%(1,241) | 57.6%(2,265) | R+26.0 | -21.3 |
| 2012 | 46.2%(1,811) | 50.9%(1,996) | R+4.7 | -11.9 |
| 2008 | 52.9%(2,136) | 45.7%(1,845) | D+7.2 | +28.2 |
| 2004 | 38.9%(1,651) | 59.9%(2,543) | R+21.0 | +0.4 |
| 2000 | 36.8%(1,512) | 58.2%(2,392) | R+21.4 | -21.4 |
| 1996 | 45.1%(1,822) | 45.0%(1,820) | D+0.1 | +8.4 |
| 1992 | 36.0%(1,638) | 44.3%(2,019) | R+8.4 | +5.3 |
| 1988 | 42.5%(1,940) | 56.2%(2,562) | R+13.6 | +17.4 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 36.3%(1,489) | 63.7%(2,612) | R+27.4 | +5.4 |
| 2022 | 27.7%(822) | 60.4%(1,795) | R+32.7 | -39.5 |
| 2018 | 53.1%(1,988) | 46.4%(1,735) | D+6.8 | +65.3 |
| 2016 | 18.9%(747) | 77.4%(3,062) | R+58.5 | -76.9 |
| 2012 | 59.1%(2,311) | 40.6%(1,589) | D+18.4 | +67.1 |
| 2010 | 24.9%(765) | 73.6%(2,262) | R+48.7 | -94.0 |
| 2006 | 72.1%(1,949) | 26.8%(725) | D+45.3 | -3.5 |
| 2004 | 74.4%(3,154) | 25.6%(1,085) | D+48.8 | +20.7 |
| 2000 | 64.1%(2,654) | 35.9%(1,488) | D+28.1 | -4.7 |
| 1998 | 65.3%(2,148) | 32.5%(1,068) | D+32.9 | +6.4 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28.5%(1,160) | 66.9%(2,721) | R+38.4 | -0.7 |
| 2020 | 29.1%(1,201) | 66.8%(2,755) | R+37.7 | +18.2 |
| 2016 | 20.1%(793) | 76.0%(2,994) | R+55.9 | -40.1 |
| 2012 | 40.8%(1,585) | 56.6%(2,200) | R+15.8 | +31.2 |
| 2008 | 25.9%(1,048) | 72.9%(2,951) | R+47.0 | -17.6 |
| 2004 | 34.8%(1,469) | 64.2%(2,710) | R+29.4 | -35.5 |
| 2000 | 53.1%(2,204) | 46.9%(1,948) | D+6.2 | -8.5 |
| 1996 | 57.4%(2,351) | 42.6%(1,748) | D+14.7 | +23.5 |
| 1992 | 44.8%(2,040) | 53.6%(2,442) | R+8.8 | -36.9 |
| 1988 | 64.1%(3,000) | 35.9%(1,683) | D+28.1 | +21.1 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(40.4%) | Joe Biden(26.3%) | ✗ |
| 2016 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(75.0%) | Hillary Clinton(25.0%) | ✗ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee