Luzerne County, Pennsylvania: Declining Industrial Metro
Pennsylvania · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+19.1
2024 Margin
R+4.8%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2016
Voting Streak
🏭 Rust Belt
Classification
326K
Population
Luzerne County, Pennsylvania voted R+19.1 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 92,444 votes (59.1%). This represented a R+4.8% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2016.
Electoral Behavior
🏭
Declining Industrial MetroView all
Rust Belt urban centers that voted for Obama but have shifted dramatically toward Republicans. Former manufacturing hubs experiencing economic decline and Democratic erosion.
Volatility
7.1
Elasticity
Responsive
Trend
-1.0/yr
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+19.1
2020→2024 SwingR+4.8%
Voting StreakR since 2016
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population325,594
Median Age
42.2(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
34.6%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$60,836(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
75.9%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
15.9%(US: 18.6%)
Black
5.0%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
1.1%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
67.8%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
15.4%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
7.1%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 40.0%(62,504) | 59.1%(92,444) | R+19.1 | -4.8 |
| 2020 | 42.3%(64,873) | 56.7%(86,929) | R+14.4 | +4.9 |
| 2016 | 38.6%(52,451) | 57.9%(78,688) | R+19.3 | -24.1 |
| 2012 | 51.5%(64,307) | 46.7%(58,325) | D+4.8 | -3.6 |
| 2008 | 53.6%(72,492) | 45.2%(61,127) | D+8.4 | +5.0 |
| 2004 | 51.1%(69,573) | 47.8%(64,953) | D+3.4 | -4.8 |
| 2000 | 52.0%(62,199) | 43.8%(52,328) | D+8.3 | -6.0 |
| 1996 | 51.5%(60,174) | 37.3%(43,577) | D+14.2 | +8.4 |
| 1992 | 44.5%(56,623) | 38.8%(49,285) | D+5.8 | +6.2 |
| 1988 | 49.6%(58,553) | 50.0%(59,059) | R+0.4 | +7.8 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41.6%(64,546) | 56.2%(87,096) | R+14.5 | -5.5 |
| 2022 | 44.3%(51,504) | 53.3%(61,978) | R+9.0 | -0.8 |
| 2018 | 45.4%(49,200) | 53.6%(58,040) | R+8.2 | -0.5 |
| 2016 | 42.9%(56,477) | 50.5%(66,551) | R+7.7 | -18.9 |
| 2012 | 54.5%(66,951) | 43.3%(53,168) | D+11.2 | +9.9 |
| 2010 | 50.7%(46,566) | 49.3%(45,313) | D+1.4 | -19.8 |
| 2006 | 60.6%(57,868) | 39.4%(37,648) | D+21.2 | +37.2 |
| 2004 | 40.0%(51,154) | 56.0%(71,615) | R+16.0 | -12.4 |
| 2000 | 47.1%(51,613) | 50.7%(55,549) | R+3.6 | +25.0 |
| 1998 | 34.1%(24,205) | 62.6%(44,513) | R+28.6 | -36.4 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 49.6%(57,598) | 48.5%(56,326) | D+1.1 | -3.6 |
| 2018 | 51.7%(55,734) | 47.0%(50,701) | D+4.7 | -7.5 |
| 2014 | 56.1%(41,609) | 43.9%(32,605) | D+12.1 | +18.9 |
| 2010 | 46.6%(43,392) | 53.4%(49,734) | R+6.8 | -41.9 |
| 2006 | 67.5%(64,628) | 32.5%(31,051) | D+35.1 | +27.2 |
| 2002 | 52.6%(45,641) | 44.7%(38,760) | D+7.9 | +35.0 |
| 1998 | 31.9%(23,827) | 59.0%(44,030) | R+27.1 | -33.0 |
| 1994 | 47.3%(43,786) | 41.3%(38,233) | D+6.0 | -55.1 |
| 1990 | 80.6%(60,043) | 19.4%(14,487) | D+61.1 | +33.3 |
| 1986 | 63.6%(66,790) | 35.8%(37,572) | D+27.8 | +13.1 |