Ancestry atlas / Puerto Rican
Puerto RicanhispanicELIGIBLEPolitics published
Puerto Rican
Concentration, geography, and modeled politics for puerto rican across the United States. When politics appears, it describes modeled geographic patterns rather than observed individual voting behavior.
Trust and evidence scope appears before rankingsPopulation share is the primary measure throughoutExplorer and Historian stay subordinate to dossier context
National population share
1.7%
Strongest state
Florida
Population: 5.6%
Population x U.S.: 3.29x U.S.
Strongest county
Seminole, FL
Population: 9.9%
Population x U.S.: 5.85x U.S.
Strongest DMA
Tampa-St. Pete (Sarasota)
Population: 6.3%
Population x U.S.: 3.75x U.S.
Politics
D+11.5
Dossier navigation
ELIGIBLEU.S. 1.7%2024 D+11.5
ELIGIBLEU.S. 1.7%2024 D+11.5
Trust and evidence scope
Release status, source chain, and modeling boundaries
Every dossier declares what is published, where the data comes from, and where modeled geography stops short of observed individual behavior.
Release status
ELIGIBLE
Search-indexed public release in the current dossier set.
Political basis
Latest 2024
Latest modeled series: 2024 D+11.5, high.
Source chain
- Footprint source: ACS 2024 ancestry fields from demographics_ancestry.
- Politics source window: presidential model output spanning 2000 through 2024 from the latest completed ancestry_vote_estimates run.
- Release policy: public-release dossiers are indexed; experimental dossiers remain labeled and excluded from search indexing.
- Interpretation: modeled political geography, not observed individual vote behavior.
National benchmark
National footprint
These are the base U.S. measures used for over-indexing and geography rankings across the dossier.
Share of population
1.7%
Availability
Nation, state, county, metro, and DMA in v1
Explorer handoff
Open the map-first explorer
The embedded workbench keeps the map, rankings, and dossier context aligned while preserving the same explorer workflow used across place-first analysis.
Map the footprint directly inside the dossier.
Use the same layer contract as the main explorer to inspect puerto rican across states, counties, metros, and media markets without leaving the dossier.
Counties ranked by share of population, with presidential context shown only as place-level backdrop.
Loading explorer layer…
| Rank | Place | Value | Pres. context |
|---|
Select a place from the map or rankings table to inspect it.
Group-context prompts
Use the dossier’s strongest places and modeled geography context as a starting point for a deeper analysis.
Ranked geography table
Top states
Population-ranked state concentrations for the public dossier view.
| Geography | % Population | Population x U.S. |
|---|---|---|
| Florida | 5.6% | 3.29x U.S. |
| New Jersey | 5.1% | 3.01x U.S. |
| New York | 5.1% | 2.99x U.S. |
| Massachusetts | 4.6% | 2.74x U.S. |
| Rhode Island | 3.9% | 2.33x U.S. |
| Pennsylvania | 3.7% | 2.18x U.S. |
| Hawaii | 3.3% | 1.93x U.S. |
| Delaware | 3.1% | 1.86x U.S. |
| Illinois | 1.6% | 0.96x U.S. |
| New Hampshire | 1.4% | 0.85x U.S. |
Ranked geography table
Top counties
County concentrations ordered by share of population, with adherent share paired where available.
| Geography | % Population | Population x U.S. |
|---|---|---|
| Seminole, FL | 9.9% | 5.85x U.S. |
| Lebanon, PA | 9.8% | 5.77x U.S. |
| Kalawao County, HI | 9.0% | 5.30x U.S. |
| Camden, NJ | 8.9% | 5.28x U.S. |
| Monroe, PA | 8.9% | 5.25x U.S. |
| Orange, NY | 8.7% | 5.13x U.S. |
| Lake, FL | 8.6% | 5.07x U.S. |
| Richmond, NY | 8.2% | 4.83x U.S. |
| Hernando, FL | 8.1% | 4.81x U.S. |
| Philadelphia, PA | 8.0% | 4.76x U.S. |
| Hillsborough, FL | 7.8% | 4.64x U.S. |
| Marion, FL | 7.8% | 4.62x U.S. |
| Volusia, FL | 7.6% | 4.51x U.S. |
| Northampton, PA | 7.4% | 4.37x U.S. |
| Atlantic, NJ | 7.2% | 4.27x U.S. |
| Hudson, NJ | 7.2% | 4.24x U.S. |
| Chautauqua, NY | 7.1% | 4.18x U.S. |
| Lorain, OH | 7.0% | 4.14x U.S. |
| Worcester, MA | 7.0% | 4.11x U.S. |
| Sullivan, NY | 6.9% | 4.11x U.S. |
| Highlands, FL | 6.9% | 4.08x U.S. |
| Lancaster, PA | 6.8% | 4.05x U.S. |
| Salem, NJ | 6.7% | 3.96x U.S. |
| Passaic, NJ | 6.7% | 3.95x U.S. |
| Pasco, FL | 6.6% | 3.92x U.S. |
Ranked geography table
Top media markets
DMA rankings extend the dossier beyond counties while preserving the same measurement grammar.
| Geography | % Population | Population x U.S. |
|---|---|---|
| Tampa-St. Pete (Sarasota) | 6.3% | 3.75x U.S. |
| Philadelphia | 5.7% | 3.34x U.S. |
| Rochester, NY | 5.5% | 3.22x U.S. |
| New York | 5.3% | 3.11x U.S. |
| Harrisburg-Lncstr-Leb-York | 5.0% | 2.94x U.S. |
| Providence-New Bedford | 4.3% | 2.51x U.S. |
| Miami-Ft. Lauderdale | 3.6% | 2.15x U.S. |
| West Palm Beach-Ft. Pierce | 3.6% | 2.13x U.S. |
| Ft. Myers-Naples | 3.4% | 1.99x U.S. |
| Honolulu | 3.3% | 1.93x U.S. |
| Wilkes Barre-Scranton-Hztn | 3.2% | 1.91x U.S. |
| Buffalo | 3.2% | 1.90x U.S. |
| Jacksonville | 3.0% | 1.80x U.S. |
| Boston (Manchester) | 3.0% | 1.78x U.S. |
| Albany-Schenectady-Troy | 2.8% | 1.64x U.S. |
Full ranked explorer
Search the entire geography set
Open the full geography table with the same measurement rules and public dossier hierarchy preserved.
Full geography explorer
50+ ranked geographies
Unlock searchable state, county, metro, and DMA rankings for this group.
Unlock with Pro$33/moResiduals
Over-indexed but politically unusual
High-footprint counties where the 2024 presidential margin diverges most from this group's latest published national modeled pattern.
| County | Footprint | 2024 actual | Modeled | Residual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hansford, TX | 1.8% | R+84.8 | D+11.5 | R+96.3 |
| La Salle, LA | 3.9% | R+82.7 | D+11.5 | R+94.2 |
| Upton, TX | 4.7% | R+77.0 | D+11.5 | R+88.5 |
| Young, TX | 2.6% | R+76.2 | D+11.5 | R+87.7 |
| Baker, FL | 1.7% | R+73.1 | D+11.5 | R+84.6 |
| Hardeman, TX | 2.6% | R+72.7 | D+11.5 | R+84.2 |
| Union, FL | 2.5% | R+68.3 | D+11.5 | R+79.8 |
| Gilchrist, FL | 2.1% | R+68.0 | D+11.5 | R+79.5 |
| Vernon, LA | 2.1% | R+67.9 | D+11.5 | R+79.4 |
| Calhoun, FL | 2.3% | R+67.6 | D+11.5 | R+79.1 |
| Sullivan, MO | 1.9% | R+66.1 | D+11.5 | R+77.5 |
| Wayne, KY | 1.9% | R+66.0 | D+11.5 | R+77.4 |
- County candidates come from the top 250 counties ranked by footprint share inside this dossier.
- Actual context is the 2024 presidential margin for each county, computed as (Dem - Rep) / total votes * 100.
- Modeled baseline is the latest published ancestry-model national Democratic margin for this group.
- Residual = county actual margin minus the modeled baseline; rows rank by absolute residual with footprint share as the tiebreaker.
- This module describes modeled geography versus county election results, not individual behavior.
Modeled politics
Political pattern
Compact public timeline plus a gated full table with method and confidence detail.
2024
D+11.5
HIGH
2020
D+36.4
MEDIUM
2016
D+45.0
HIGH
Full politics detail
Unlock the full election-year table, method labels, and model metadata.
Unlock with Pro$33/moMethod and export
Methodology and exports
Public notes on source tables, measurement scope, modeling boundaries, and exportability.
- Ancestry footprint metrics use ACS 2024 source columns mapped from the canonical ancestry taxonomy.
- Public geography tables rank states and counties by share of total population reporting the ancestry.
- State and national ancestry shares are weighted from county populations whenever a direct aggregate row is unavailable.
- Political timelines use the latest completed ancestry model run and surface model version plus confidence labels directly.
- Indexed public-release dossiers remain search-visible; experimental dossiers stay public in the atlas but noindex until promoted.
- These pages describe modeled voting patterns, not direct measures of individual behavior.