Lackawanna County, Pennsylvania: Declining Industrial Metro
Pennsylvania · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
D+2.8
2024 Margin
R+5.6%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 1988
Voting Streak
🏭 Rust Belt
Classification
216K
Population
Lackawanna County, Pennsylvania voted D+2.8 for Kamala Harris in 2024, with Harris receiving 59,510 votes (50.9%). This represented a R+5.6% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1988.
Electoral Behavior
🏭
Declining Industrial MetroView all
Rust Belt urban centers that voted for Obama but have shifted dramatically toward Republicans. Former manufacturing hubs experiencing economic decline and Democratic erosion.
Volatility
7.6
Elasticity
Responsive
Trend
-0.4/yr
Quick Stats
2024 ResultD+2.8
2020→2024 SwingR+5.6%
Voting StreakD since 1988
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population215,896
Median Age
41.9(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
41.9%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$63,739(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
81.1%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
9.2%(US: 18.6%)
Black
3.9%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
2.9%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
65.4%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
14.0%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
6.4%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 50.9%(59,510) | 48.1%(56,261) | D+2.8 | -5.6 |
| 2020 | 53.7%(61,991) | 45.4%(52,334) | D+8.4 | +4.9 |
| 2016 | 49.8%(51,983) | 46.3%(48,384) | D+3.5 | -23.8 |
| 2012 | 62.9%(61,838) | 35.7%(35,085) | D+27.2 | +1.2 |
| 2008 | 62.6%(67,520) | 36.6%(39,488) | D+26.0 | +12.0 |
| 2004 | 56.3%(59,573) | 42.3%(44,766) | D+14.0 | -9.2 |
| 2000 | 59.6%(57,471) | 36.4%(35,096) | D+23.2 | -0.3 |
| 1996 | 56.1%(46,377) | 32.6%(26,930) | D+23.5 | +11.3 |
| 1992 | 47.4%(45,054) | 35.2%(33,443) | D+12.2 | +8.3 |
| 1988 | 51.4%(45,591) | 47.4%(42,083) | D+4.0 | +6.3 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 53.2%(61,653) | 44.8%(51,944) | D+8.4 | -7.3 |
| 2022 | 56.8%(50,489) | 41.1%(36,534) | D+15.7 | -7.5 |
| 2018 | 61.1%(51,444) | 37.9%(31,922) | D+23.2 | +10.0 |
| 2016 | 52.9%(53,936) | 39.8%(40,519) | D+13.2 | -21.8 |
| 2012 | 66.7%(64,940) | 31.8%(30,928) | D+34.9 | +15.3 |
| 2010 | 59.8%(41,327) | 40.2%(27,742) | D+19.7 | -19.2 |
| 2006 | 69.5%(54,289) | 30.5%(23,874) | D+38.9 | +52.1 |
| 2004 | 41.7%(41,604) | 54.9%(54,797) | R+13.2 | -20.9 |
| 2000 | 52.9%(47,363) | 45.2%(40,520) | D+7.6 | +27.7 |
| 1998 | 38.7%(25,492) | 58.8%(38,710) | R+20.1 | -38.9 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 61.3%(54,442) | 36.8%(32,697) | D+24.5 | -6.1 |
| 2018 | 64.6%(54,237) | 34.1%(28,616) | D+30.5 | -9.0 |
| 2014 | 69.7%(41,680) | 30.3%(18,081) | D+39.5 | +29.5 |
| 2010 | 55.0%(38,300) | 45.0%(31,342) | D+10.0 | -36.0 |
| 2006 | 73.0%(56,966) | 27.0%(21,095) | D+46.0 | +25.5 |
| 2002 | 58.2%(40,206) | 37.8%(26,099) | D+20.4 | +35.2 |
| 1998 | 38.2%(25,297) | 53.0%(35,039) | R+14.7 | -28.9 |
| 1994 | 51.1%(36,014) | 37.0%(26,053) | D+14.2 | -49.5 |
| 1990 | 81.8%(49,282) | 18.2%(10,941) | D+63.7 | +28.4 |
| 1986 | 67.5%(55,979) | 32.3%(26,775) | D+35.2 | +20.8 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(80.4%) | Bernie Sanders(13.3%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(56.5%) | Bernie Sanders(42.5%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | GOP | Donald Trump(70.0%) | Ted Cruz(16.3%) | ✓ |
| 2008 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(73.4%) | Barack Obama(26.1%) | ✗ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee