Monroe County, Pennsylvania: Declining Industrial Metro

Pennsylvania · Presidential Elections 1892–2024

R+0.8

2024 Margin

R+7.1%

2020→2024 Swing

R since 2024

Voting Streak

168K

Population

Monroe County, Pennsylvania voted R+0.8 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 42,676 votes (49.77%). This represented a R+7.1% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2024.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+0.8

2020→2024 SwingR+7.1%

Voting StreakR since 2024

Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population168,327

Median Age

43.5(US: 38.4)

College (BA+)

27.9%(US: 34.6%)

Median Income

$80,656(US: $78k)

White (non-Hisp)

61.2%(US: 57.5%)

Hispanic

17.7%(US: 18.6%)

Black

14.8%(US: 12.3%)

Asian

2.5%(US: 5.7%)

Homeownership

79.5%(US: 64.2%)

Poverty Rate

11.3%(US: 12.4%)

Veterans

7.3%(US: 6.4%)

Non-English (CVAP)

14.7%(US: 17.1%)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020

Catholic

15.3%(-3.4 vs US)

Evangelical

8.8%(-7.7 vs US)

Mainline Protestant

6.7%(+1.5 vs US)

LDS/Mormon

0.8%(-1.2 vs US)

Black Protestant

0.3%(-1.9 vs US)

+ 1 more traditions

Age Distribution

Median:43.5 yrs(US: 38.5)

Under 18

19.3%↓

18-29

9.3%↓

30-44

17.1%

45-64

35.4%↑

65+

18.9%

National average

Employment by Industry

Source: Census ACS

Retail Trade

12.9%

Manufacturing

10.9%

Education

10.3%

Professional ServicesBelow avg

9.5%

Construction

6.8%

HealthcareVery low

4.3%

Political relevance:

Healthcare: ACA debates

+ 1 more industries

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

Year	Democrat	Republican	Margin	Swing
2024	49.0%(42,007)	49.8%(42,676)	R+0.8	R+7.1
2020	52.6%(44,060)	46.2%(38,726)	D+6.4	D+5.6
2016	48.5%(33,918)	47.7%(33,386)	D+0.8	R+12.5
2012	55.9%(35,221)	42.6%(26,867)	D+13.3	R+3.0
2008	57.6%(39,453)	41.3%(28,293)	D+16.3	D+16.3
2004	49.6%(27,967)	49.6%(27,971)	R+0.0	D+2.8
2000	46.8%(21,939)	49.6%(23,265)	R+2.8	R+0.8
1996	42.4%(16,547)	44.4%(17,326)	R+2.0	D+0.9
1992	35.9%(13,468)	38.8%(14,557)	R+2.9	D+23.9
1988	36.0%(9,859)	62.8%(17,185)	R+26.8	D+5.6

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Senate Elections

Senate Results

Year	Democrat	Republican	Margin	Swing
2024	49.0%(41,701)	48.1%(40,872)	D+1.0	R+5.0
2022	51.5%(30,251)	45.5%(26,746)	D+6.0	R+6.0
2018	55.3%(30,626)	43.3%(23,968)	D+12.0	D+6.7
2016	51.3%(34,280)	46.0%(30,743)	D+5.3	R+7.9
2012	55.8%(33,502)	42.6%(25,579)	D+13.2	D+16.7
2010	48.3%(18,921)	51.8%(20,295)	R+3.5	R+15.7
2006	56.1%(19,862)	43.9%(15,555)	D+12.2	D+26.3
2004	41.5%(22,354)	55.6%(29,944)	R+14.1	D+4.5
2000	39.4%(17,351)	58.0%(25,524)	R+18.6	D+11.9
1998	32.7%(7,967)	63.1%(15,393)	R+30.4	R+13.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

Year	Democrat	Republican	Margin	Swing
2022	54.4%(32,009)	43.5%(25,604)	D+10.9	R+6.3
2018	57.8%(32,064)	40.6%(22,530)	D+17.2	D+3.4
2014	56.9%(19,864)	43.1%(15,046)	D+13.8	D+21.6
2010	46.1%(18,082)	53.9%(21,162)	R+7.8	R+28.6
2006	60.4%(21,430)	39.6%(14,071)	D+20.7	D+23.0
2002	47.3%(14,570)	49.6%(15,258)	R+2.2	D+36.3
1998	27.4%(7,160)	66.0%(17,243)	R+38.6	R+22.5
1994	38.0%(10,137)	54.1%(14,409)	R+16.0	R+44.9
1990	64.4%(12,243)	35.6%(6,761)	D+28.9	D+37.4
1986	45.4%(7,800)	54.0%(9,272)	R+8.6	D+2.8

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Primary Election History

Primary Results

Year	Party	Winner	Runner-up	Nominee?
2020	Dem	Joe Biden(78.4%)	Bernie Sanders(17.8%)	✓
2016	Dem	Hillary Clinton(53.3%)	Bernie Sanders(45.9%)	✓
2016	GOP	Donald Trump(69.9%)	Ted Cruz(17.0%)	✓
2008	Dem	Hillary Clinton(57.5%)	Barack Obama(42.4%)	✗