Razor-Thin Margins2024 Election

Where Every Vote Truly Mattered

The tightest presidential state was Wisconsin at just R+0.86. The closest House race was CA-13 at D+0.09.

These are the places where the 2024 election came down to the wire—where a handful of votes separated winners from losers. The true battlegrounds of American democracy.

The 2024 elections featured razor-thin margins across all levels. Presidential battlegrounds like Arizona, Wisconsin, and Nevada were decided by less than 2 points. House races saw several nail-biters, with 12 districts decided by under 2 points. The closest Senate race was in Pennsylvania at R+0.24.

Closest Senate Races (by margin)

#StateWinnerMarginVote GapTotal Votes
1PennsylvaniaDavid H McCormickR+0.2416,910 votes6,960,775
2MichiganElissa SlotkinD+0.3419,006 votes5,577,187
3WisconsinTammy BaldwinD+0.8528,781 votes3,390,761
4NevadaJacky S RosenD+1.6524,124 votes1,464,387
5ArizonaGallegoD+2.4080,574 votes3,354,552
6OhioBernie MorenoR+3.62206,434 votes5,703,980
7MontanaTim SheehyR+7.1443,366 votes607,142
8TexasCruzR+8.50959,495 votes11,288,723
9VirginiaTimothy M KaineD+8.95397,204 votes4,437,026
10New JerseyKimD+9.61387,902 votes4,036,123
11New MexicoMartin HeinrichD+10.1191,320 votes903,260
12MarylandAngela AlsobrooksD+11.83356,568 votes3,014,652
13FloridaRick ScottR+12.491,374,630 votes11,002,524
14UtahJohn CurtisR+14.76449,930 votes3,047,946
15MinnesotaAmy KlobucharD+15.72500,729 votes3,185,745
16NebraskaRickettsR+15.90297,832 votes1,873,341
17ConnecticutChristopher S MurphyD+16.12550,780 votes3,416,504
18MissouriJosh HawleyR+16.83479,330 votes2,848,600
19DelawareLisa Blunt RochesterD+17.09171,090 votes1,001,212
20MaineKing (I)D+17.28140,709 votes814,348
21CaliforniaSchiffD+17.752,723,658 votes15,348,846
22New YorkGillibrandD+18.291,465,184 votes8,010,317
23WashingtonMaria CantwellD+18.53703,920 votes3,798,190
24MassachusettsElizabeth Ann WarrenD+19.25676,228 votes3,512,930
25IndianaJim BanksR+19.87562,355 votes2,829,897
26Rhode IslandSheldon WhitehouseD+19.90194,764 votes978,472
27MississippiWickerR+25.62311,439 votes1,215,401
28TennesseeMarsha BlackburnR+29.63891,282 votes3,007,608
29VermontBernie Sanders (I)D+31.12112,917 votes362,855
30HawaiiMazie K HironoD+32.71164,119 votes501,763
31North DakotaKevin CramerR+33.03119,967 votes363,171
32West VirginiaJim JusticeR+41.00306,531 votes747,702
33WyomingBarrassoR+50.99134,691 votes264,162

Closest House Races (by margin)

#DistrictWinnerMarginVote GapTotal Votes
1CA-13CaliforniaAdam GrayD+0.09187 votes210,921
2IA-01IowaMariannette Miller-MeeksR+0.19799 votes414,078
3CA-45CaliforniaDerek TranD+0.21653 votes315,875
4ME-02MaineJared F. GoldenD+0.342,706 votes403,274
5OH-09OhioMarcy KapturD+0.632,382 votes375,195
6CO-08ColoradoGabe EvansR+0.732,449 votes333,616
7PA-08PennsylvaniaRob BresnahanR+0.883,373 votes385,074
8AK-ALAlaskaNick BegichR+1.003,305 votes329,555
9PA-07PennsylvaniaRyan E. MacKenzieR+1.014,062 votes403,314
10PA-10PennsylvaniaScott PerryR+1.265,133 votes406,001
11NC-01North CarolinaDonald G. DavisD+1.686,307 votes376,324
12NE-02NebraskaDon BaconR+1.855,829 votes314,567
13OH-13OhioEmilia Strong SykesD+2.218,542 votes386,390
14NY-04New YorkLaura A. GillenD+2.298,603 votes375,518
15AZ-06ArizonaJuan CiscomaniR+2.5110,822 votes431,220
16TX-34TexasVicente GonzalezD+2.585,177 votes200,383
17VA-07VirginiaEugene S. VindmanD+2.6410,489 votes397,299
18CA-27CaliforniaGeorge WhitesidesD+2.667,990 votes300,090
19WI-03WisconsinDerrick Van OrdenR+2.7211,256 votes413,181
20OR-05OregonJanelle S. BynumD+2.7310,945 votes401,293
21NV-03NevadaSusie LeeD+2.7410,220 votes372,388
22CA-47CaliforniaDave MinD+2.8810,167 votes353,275
23CA-41CaliforniaKen CalvertR+3.3811,987 votes354,445
24CA-09CaliforniaJosh HarderD+3.589,009 votes251,357
25NY-03New YorkThomas R. SuozziD+3.5812,958 votes362,344

Closest States (by margin)

#StateMarginVote GapElectoral VotesTotal Votes
1WisconsinR+0.8629,397 votes103,422,918
2MichiganR+1.4180,106 votes155,674,449
3PennsylvaniaR+1.70120,266 votes197,058,269
4GeorgiaR+2.18115,100 votes165,270,783
5New HampshireD+2.7822,965 votes4826,205
6NevadaR+3.1046,008 votes61,484,840
7North CarolinaR+3.21183,047 votes165,699,155
8MinnesotaD+4.24137,947 votes103,253,915
9ArizonaR+5.51187,382 votes113,400,274
10VirginiaD+5.78260,310 votes134,505,942
11New JerseyD+5.89252,498 votes144,287,740
12New MexicoD+6.0055,411 votes5923,403
13MaineD+6.4753,351 votes4824,806
14IllinoisD+10.89613,712 votes195,633,604
15ColoradoD+10.98350,718 votes103,192,745

Closest Counties (by margin)

#CountyMarginVote GapTotal Votes
1Talbot County, MarylandMDR+0.036 votes22,830
2Bucks County, PennsylvaniaPAR+0.07291 votes402,349
3Tippecanoe County, IndianaINR+0.15100 votes67,194
4Green County, WisconsinWID+0.2760 votes22,076
5Oktibbeha County, MississippiMSR+0.2850 votes18,116
6Haywood County, TennesseeTND+0.3825 votes6,652
7Wilson County, North CarolinaNCD+0.40159 votes40,045
8Aleutians West Census Area, AlaskaAKD+0.414 votes975
9Broome County, New YorkNYD+0.42379 votes91,034
10Montgomery County, OhioOHD+0.471,201 votes256,544
11Clay County, MinnesotaMND+0.47156 votes32,874
12Shawnee County, KansasKSD+0.49407 votes82,350
13Essex County, New YorkNYD+0.5096 votes19,236
14Nicollet County, MinnesotaMNR+0.5199 votes19,417
15Radford city, VirginiaVAD+0.5234 votes6,583
16Winnebago County, IllinoisILD+0.56685 votes121,347
17New Hanover County, North CarolinaNCD+0.62865 votes138,734
18Surry County, VirginiaVAR+0.6529 votes4,441
19Sullivan County, New HampshireNHR+0.66167 votes25,221
20Guadalupe County, New MexicoNMD+0.7214 votes1,938
21St. Francis County, ArkansasARD+0.7444 votes5,979
22Iberville Parish, LouisianaLAR+0.74113 votes15,354
23Palm Beach County, FloridaFLD+0.765,676 votes748,489
24St. Helena Parish, LouisianaLAD+0.7744 votes5,745
25Monroe County, PennsylvaniaPAR+0.78669 votes85,752
26Stafford County, VirginiaVAD+0.79662 votes83,539
27Grand County, ColoradoCOR+0.8079 votes9,884
28Imperial County, CaliforniaCAR+0.86463 votes54,025
29San Joaquin County, CaliforniaCAR+0.892,349 votes264,916
30St. James Parish, LouisianaLAR+0.93110 votes11,789
31Deer Lodge County, MontanaMTD+0.9747 votes4,870
32Washoe County, NevadaNVD+1.002,628 votes263,734
33Erie County, PennsylvaniaPAR+1.021,410 votes137,979
34Black Hawk County, IowaIAD+1.16727 votes62,906
35Ontario County, New YorkNYR+1.16701 votes60,352
36Portage County, WisconsinWID+1.19516 votes43,258
37Jefferson County, GeorgiaGAR+1.2191 votes7,494
38Blue Earth County, MinnesotaMNR+1.22443 votes36,442
39Northwest Hills Planning Region, ConnecticutCTR+1.26807 votes64,090
40Riverside County, CaliforniaCAR+1.2611,895 votes940,510
41Pacific County, WashingtonWAR+1.30185 votes14,244
42Bristol County, MassachusettsMAD+1.303,612 votes278,002
43Rensselaer County, New YorkNYD+1.351,067 votes79,154
44Lake County, CaliforniaCAR+1.37367 votes26,759
45Tillamook County, OregonORR+1.38224 votes16,252
46Anchorage Municipality, AlaskaAKD+1.401,859 votes132,898
47Issaquena County, MississippiMSR+1.459 votes622
48Osceola County, FloridaFLR+1.452,508 votes173,289
49Duval County, FloridaFLR+1.466,920 votes473,333
50St. Joseph County, IndianaIND+1.471,630 votes110,824

Related Analysis

Source: Official state election returns
akashicedge.com/explore/closest-races-2024